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Combined effects of prevention and quarantine on a breakout in SIR model

Recent breakouts of several epidemics, such as flu pandemics, are serious threats to human health. The measures of protection against these epidemics are urgent issues in epidemiological studies. Prevention and quarantine are two major approaches against disease spreads. We here investigate the comb...

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Autores principales: Kato, Fuminori, Tainaka, Kei-ichi, Sone, Shogo, Morita, Satoru, Iida, Hiroyuki, Yoshimura, Jin
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group 2011
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3216498/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22355529
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep00010
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author Kato, Fuminori
Tainaka, Kei-ichi
Sone, Shogo
Morita, Satoru
Iida, Hiroyuki
Yoshimura, Jin
author_facet Kato, Fuminori
Tainaka, Kei-ichi
Sone, Shogo
Morita, Satoru
Iida, Hiroyuki
Yoshimura, Jin
author_sort Kato, Fuminori
collection PubMed
description Recent breakouts of several epidemics, such as flu pandemics, are serious threats to human health. The measures of protection against these epidemics are urgent issues in epidemiological studies. Prevention and quarantine are two major approaches against disease spreads. We here investigate the combined effects of these two measures of protection using the SIR model. We use site percolation for prevention and bond percolation for quarantine applying on a lattice model. We find a strong synergistic effect of prevention and quarantine under local interactions. A slight increase in protection measures is extremely effective in the initial disease spreads. Combination of the two measures is more effective than a single protection measure. Our results suggest that the protection policy against epidemics should account for both prevention and quarantine measures simultaneously.
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spelling pubmed-32164982011-12-22 Combined effects of prevention and quarantine on a breakout in SIR model Kato, Fuminori Tainaka, Kei-ichi Sone, Shogo Morita, Satoru Iida, Hiroyuki Yoshimura, Jin Sci Rep Article Recent breakouts of several epidemics, such as flu pandemics, are serious threats to human health. The measures of protection against these epidemics are urgent issues in epidemiological studies. Prevention and quarantine are two major approaches against disease spreads. We here investigate the combined effects of these two measures of protection using the SIR model. We use site percolation for prevention and bond percolation for quarantine applying on a lattice model. We find a strong synergistic effect of prevention and quarantine under local interactions. A slight increase in protection measures is extremely effective in the initial disease spreads. Combination of the two measures is more effective than a single protection measure. Our results suggest that the protection policy against epidemics should account for both prevention and quarantine measures simultaneously. Nature Publishing Group 2011-06-14 /pmc/articles/PMC3216498/ /pubmed/22355529 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep00010 Text en Copyright © 2011, Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-ncsa/3.0/ This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-Share Alike 3.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/
spellingShingle Article
Kato, Fuminori
Tainaka, Kei-ichi
Sone, Shogo
Morita, Satoru
Iida, Hiroyuki
Yoshimura, Jin
Combined effects of prevention and quarantine on a breakout in SIR model
title Combined effects of prevention and quarantine on a breakout in SIR model
title_full Combined effects of prevention and quarantine on a breakout in SIR model
title_fullStr Combined effects of prevention and quarantine on a breakout in SIR model
title_full_unstemmed Combined effects of prevention and quarantine on a breakout in SIR model
title_short Combined effects of prevention and quarantine on a breakout in SIR model
title_sort combined effects of prevention and quarantine on a breakout in sir model
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3216498/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22355529
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep00010
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