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Combined effects of prevention and quarantine on a breakout in SIR model
Recent breakouts of several epidemics, such as flu pandemics, are serious threats to human health. The measures of protection against these epidemics are urgent issues in epidemiological studies. Prevention and quarantine are two major approaches against disease spreads. We here investigate the comb...
Autores principales: | , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Nature Publishing Group
2011
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3216498/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22355529 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep00010 |
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author | Kato, Fuminori Tainaka, Kei-ichi Sone, Shogo Morita, Satoru Iida, Hiroyuki Yoshimura, Jin |
author_facet | Kato, Fuminori Tainaka, Kei-ichi Sone, Shogo Morita, Satoru Iida, Hiroyuki Yoshimura, Jin |
author_sort | Kato, Fuminori |
collection | PubMed |
description | Recent breakouts of several epidemics, such as flu pandemics, are serious threats to human health. The measures of protection against these epidemics are urgent issues in epidemiological studies. Prevention and quarantine are two major approaches against disease spreads. We here investigate the combined effects of these two measures of protection using the SIR model. We use site percolation for prevention and bond percolation for quarantine applying on a lattice model. We find a strong synergistic effect of prevention and quarantine under local interactions. A slight increase in protection measures is extremely effective in the initial disease spreads. Combination of the two measures is more effective than a single protection measure. Our results suggest that the protection policy against epidemics should account for both prevention and quarantine measures simultaneously. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-3216498 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2011 |
publisher | Nature Publishing Group |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-32164982011-12-22 Combined effects of prevention and quarantine on a breakout in SIR model Kato, Fuminori Tainaka, Kei-ichi Sone, Shogo Morita, Satoru Iida, Hiroyuki Yoshimura, Jin Sci Rep Article Recent breakouts of several epidemics, such as flu pandemics, are serious threats to human health. The measures of protection against these epidemics are urgent issues in epidemiological studies. Prevention and quarantine are two major approaches against disease spreads. We here investigate the combined effects of these two measures of protection using the SIR model. We use site percolation for prevention and bond percolation for quarantine applying on a lattice model. We find a strong synergistic effect of prevention and quarantine under local interactions. A slight increase in protection measures is extremely effective in the initial disease spreads. Combination of the two measures is more effective than a single protection measure. Our results suggest that the protection policy against epidemics should account for both prevention and quarantine measures simultaneously. Nature Publishing Group 2011-06-14 /pmc/articles/PMC3216498/ /pubmed/22355529 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep00010 Text en Copyright © 2011, Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-ncsa/3.0/ This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-Share Alike 3.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/ |
spellingShingle | Article Kato, Fuminori Tainaka, Kei-ichi Sone, Shogo Morita, Satoru Iida, Hiroyuki Yoshimura, Jin Combined effects of prevention and quarantine on a breakout in SIR model |
title | Combined effects of prevention and quarantine on a breakout in SIR model |
title_full | Combined effects of prevention and quarantine on a breakout in SIR model |
title_fullStr | Combined effects of prevention and quarantine on a breakout in SIR model |
title_full_unstemmed | Combined effects of prevention and quarantine on a breakout in SIR model |
title_short | Combined effects of prevention and quarantine on a breakout in SIR model |
title_sort | combined effects of prevention and quarantine on a breakout in sir model |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3216498/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22355529 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep00010 |
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