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A Simple Stochastic Model with Environmental Transmission Explains Multi-Year Periodicity in Outbreaks of Avian Flu
Avian influenza virus reveals persistent and recurrent outbreaks in North American wild waterfowl, and exhibits major outbreaks at 2–8 years intervals in duck populations. The standard susceptible-infected- recovered (SIR) framework, which includes seasonal migration and reproduction, but lacks envi...
Autores principales: | Wang, Rong-Hua, Jin, Zhen, Liu, Quan-Xing, van de Koppel, Johan, Alonso, David |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Public Library of Science
2012
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3281819/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22363397 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0028873 |
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