Spuriously High Prevalence of Prediabetes Diagnosed by HbA(1c) in Young Indians Partly Explained by Hematological Factors and Iron Deficiency Anemia

OBJECTIVE: To examine the influence of glycemic and nonglycemic parameters on HbA(1c) concentrations in young adults, the majority of whom had normal glucose tolerance. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We compared the diagnosis of normal glucose tolerance, prediabetes, and diabetes between a standard oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT; World Health Organization 2006 criteria) and HbA(1c) concentrations (American Diabetes Association [ADA] 2009 criteria) in 116 young adults (average age 21.6 years) from the Pune Children’s Study. We also studied the contribution of glycemic and nonglycemic determinants to HbA(1c) concentrations. RESULTS: The OGTT showed that 7.8% of participants were prediabetic and 2.6% were diabetic. By ADA HbA(1c) criteria, 23.3% were prediabetic and 2.6% were diabetic. The negative predictive value of HbA(1c) was 93% and the positive predictive value was 20% (only 20% had prediabetes or diabetes according to the OGTT; this figure was 7% in anemic participants). Of participants, 34% were anemic, 37% were iron deficient (ferritin <15 ng/mL), 40% were vitamin B(12) deficient (<150 pmol/L), and 22% were folate deficient (<7 nmol/L). On multiple linear regression analysis, HbA(1c) was predicted by higher 2-h glucose (R(2) = 25.6%) and lower hemoglobin (R(2) = 7.7%). When hematological parameters were replaced by ferritin, vitamin B(12), and folate, HbA(1c) was predicted by higher glycemia (R(2) = 25.6%) and lower ferritin (R(2) = 4.3%). CONCLUSIONS: The use of HbA(1c) to diagnose prediabetes and diabetes in iron-deficient populations may lead to a spuriously exaggerated prevalence. Further investigation is required before using HbA(1c) as a screening tool in nutritionally compromised populations.