Predicting Quarantine Failure Rates

Preemptive quarantine through contact-tracing effectively controls emerging infectious diseases. Occasionally this quarantine fails, however, and infected persons are released. The probability of quarantine failure is typically estimated from disease-specific data. Here a simple, exact estimate of t...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Day, Troy
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2004
Materias:
Dispatch
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3322804/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/15109418
http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid1003.030502
Descripción
Sumario:Preemptive quarantine through contact-tracing effectively controls emerging infectious diseases. Occasionally this quarantine fails, however, and infected persons are released. The probability of quarantine failure is typically estimated from disease-specific data. Here a simple, exact estimate of the failure rate is derived that does not depend on disease-specific parameters. This estimate is universally applicable to all infectious diseases.

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