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On the existence of a threshold for preventive behavioral responses to suppress epidemic spreading
The spontaneous behavioral responses of individuals to the progress of an epidemic are recognized to have a significant impact on how the infection spreads. One observation is that, even if the infection strength is larger than the classical epidemic threshold, the initially growing infection can di...
Autores principales: | , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Nature Publishing Group
2012
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3433689/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22953053 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep00632 |
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author | Sahneh, Faryad Darabi Chowdhury, Fahmida N. Scoglio, Caterina M. |
author_facet | Sahneh, Faryad Darabi Chowdhury, Fahmida N. Scoglio, Caterina M. |
author_sort | Sahneh, Faryad Darabi |
collection | PubMed |
description | The spontaneous behavioral responses of individuals to the progress of an epidemic are recognized to have a significant impact on how the infection spreads. One observation is that, even if the infection strength is larger than the classical epidemic threshold, the initially growing infection can diminish as the result of preventive behavioral patterns adopted by the individuals. In order to investigate such dynamics of the epidemic spreading, we use a simple behavioral model coupled with the individual-based SIS epidemic model where susceptible individuals adopt a preventive behavior when sensing infection. We show that, given any infection strength and contact topology, there exists a region in the behavior-related parameter space such that infection cannot survive in long run and is completely contained. Several simulation results, including a spreading scenario in a realistic contact network from a rural district in the State of Kansas, are presented to support our analytical arguments. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-3433689 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2012 |
publisher | Nature Publishing Group |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-34336892012-09-05 On the existence of a threshold for preventive behavioral responses to suppress epidemic spreading Sahneh, Faryad Darabi Chowdhury, Fahmida N. Scoglio, Caterina M. Sci Rep Article The spontaneous behavioral responses of individuals to the progress of an epidemic are recognized to have a significant impact on how the infection spreads. One observation is that, even if the infection strength is larger than the classical epidemic threshold, the initially growing infection can diminish as the result of preventive behavioral patterns adopted by the individuals. In order to investigate such dynamics of the epidemic spreading, we use a simple behavioral model coupled with the individual-based SIS epidemic model where susceptible individuals adopt a preventive behavior when sensing infection. We show that, given any infection strength and contact topology, there exists a region in the behavior-related parameter space such that infection cannot survive in long run and is completely contained. Several simulation results, including a spreading scenario in a realistic contact network from a rural district in the State of Kansas, are presented to support our analytical arguments. Nature Publishing Group 2012-09-05 /pmc/articles/PMC3433689/ /pubmed/22953053 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep00632 Text en Copyright © 2012, Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/ This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-No Derivative Works 3.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/ |
spellingShingle | Article Sahneh, Faryad Darabi Chowdhury, Fahmida N. Scoglio, Caterina M. On the existence of a threshold for preventive behavioral responses to suppress epidemic spreading |
title | On the existence of a threshold for preventive behavioral responses to suppress epidemic spreading |
title_full | On the existence of a threshold for preventive behavioral responses to suppress epidemic spreading |
title_fullStr | On the existence of a threshold for preventive behavioral responses to suppress epidemic spreading |
title_full_unstemmed | On the existence of a threshold for preventive behavioral responses to suppress epidemic spreading |
title_short | On the existence of a threshold for preventive behavioral responses to suppress epidemic spreading |
title_sort | on the existence of a threshold for preventive behavioral responses to suppress epidemic spreading |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3433689/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22953053 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep00632 |
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