Cargando…

On the existence of a threshold for preventive behavioral responses to suppress epidemic spreading

The spontaneous behavioral responses of individuals to the progress of an epidemic are recognized to have a significant impact on how the infection spreads. One observation is that, even if the infection strength is larger than the classical epidemic threshold, the initially growing infection can di...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Sahneh, Faryad Darabi, Chowdhury, Fahmida N., Scoglio, Caterina M.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group 2012
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3433689/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22953053
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep00632
_version_ 1782242346641915904
author Sahneh, Faryad Darabi
Chowdhury, Fahmida N.
Scoglio, Caterina M.
author_facet Sahneh, Faryad Darabi
Chowdhury, Fahmida N.
Scoglio, Caterina M.
author_sort Sahneh, Faryad Darabi
collection PubMed
description The spontaneous behavioral responses of individuals to the progress of an epidemic are recognized to have a significant impact on how the infection spreads. One observation is that, even if the infection strength is larger than the classical epidemic threshold, the initially growing infection can diminish as the result of preventive behavioral patterns adopted by the individuals. In order to investigate such dynamics of the epidemic spreading, we use a simple behavioral model coupled with the individual-based SIS epidemic model where susceptible individuals adopt a preventive behavior when sensing infection. We show that, given any infection strength and contact topology, there exists a region in the behavior-related parameter space such that infection cannot survive in long run and is completely contained. Several simulation results, including a spreading scenario in a realistic contact network from a rural district in the State of Kansas, are presented to support our analytical arguments.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-3433689
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2012
publisher Nature Publishing Group
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-34336892012-09-05 On the existence of a threshold for preventive behavioral responses to suppress epidemic spreading Sahneh, Faryad Darabi Chowdhury, Fahmida N. Scoglio, Caterina M. Sci Rep Article The spontaneous behavioral responses of individuals to the progress of an epidemic are recognized to have a significant impact on how the infection spreads. One observation is that, even if the infection strength is larger than the classical epidemic threshold, the initially growing infection can diminish as the result of preventive behavioral patterns adopted by the individuals. In order to investigate such dynamics of the epidemic spreading, we use a simple behavioral model coupled with the individual-based SIS epidemic model where susceptible individuals adopt a preventive behavior when sensing infection. We show that, given any infection strength and contact topology, there exists a region in the behavior-related parameter space such that infection cannot survive in long run and is completely contained. Several simulation results, including a spreading scenario in a realistic contact network from a rural district in the State of Kansas, are presented to support our analytical arguments. Nature Publishing Group 2012-09-05 /pmc/articles/PMC3433689/ /pubmed/22953053 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep00632 Text en Copyright © 2012, Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/ This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-No Derivative Works 3.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/
spellingShingle Article
Sahneh, Faryad Darabi
Chowdhury, Fahmida N.
Scoglio, Caterina M.
On the existence of a threshold for preventive behavioral responses to suppress epidemic spreading
title On the existence of a threshold for preventive behavioral responses to suppress epidemic spreading
title_full On the existence of a threshold for preventive behavioral responses to suppress epidemic spreading
title_fullStr On the existence of a threshold for preventive behavioral responses to suppress epidemic spreading
title_full_unstemmed On the existence of a threshold for preventive behavioral responses to suppress epidemic spreading
title_short On the existence of a threshold for preventive behavioral responses to suppress epidemic spreading
title_sort on the existence of a threshold for preventive behavioral responses to suppress epidemic spreading
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3433689/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22953053
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep00632
work_keys_str_mv AT sahnehfaryaddarabi ontheexistenceofathresholdforpreventivebehavioralresponsestosuppressepidemicspreading
AT chowdhuryfahmidan ontheexistenceofathresholdforpreventivebehavioralresponsestosuppressepidemicspreading
AT scogliocaterinam ontheexistenceofathresholdforpreventivebehavioralresponsestosuppressepidemicspreading