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Developing a comprehensive time series of GDP per capita for 210 countries from 1950 to 2015

BACKGROUND: Income has been extensively studied and utilized as a determinant of health. There are several sources of income expressed as gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, but there are no time series that are complete for the years between 1950 and 2015 for the 210 countries for which data e...

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Autores principales: James, Spencer L, Gubbins, Paul, Murray, Christopher JL, Gakidou, Emmanuela
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: BioMed Central 2012
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3487911/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22846561
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1478-7954-10-12
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author James, Spencer L
Gubbins, Paul
Murray, Christopher JL
Gakidou, Emmanuela
author_facet James, Spencer L
Gubbins, Paul
Murray, Christopher JL
Gakidou, Emmanuela
author_sort James, Spencer L
collection PubMed
description BACKGROUND: Income has been extensively studied and utilized as a determinant of health. There are several sources of income expressed as gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, but there are no time series that are complete for the years between 1950 and 2015 for the 210 countries for which data exist. It is in the interest of population health research to establish a global time series that is complete from 1950 to 2015. METHODS: We collected GDP per capita estimates expressed in either constant US dollar terms or international dollar terms (corrected for purchasing power parity) from seven sources. We applied several stages of models, including ordinary least-squares regressions and mixed effects models, to complete each of the seven source series from 1950 to 2015. The three US dollar and four international dollar series were each averaged to produce two new GDP per capita series. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: Nine complete series from 1950 to 2015 for 210 countries are available for use. These series can serve various analytical purposes and can illustrate myriad economic trends and features. The derivation of the two new series allows for researchers to avoid any series-specific biases that may exist. The modeling approach used is flexible and will allow for yearly updating as new estimates are produced by the source series. CONCLUSION: GDP per capita is a necessary tool in population health research, and our development and implementation of a new method has allowed for the most comprehensive known time series to date.
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spelling pubmed-34879112012-11-08 Developing a comprehensive time series of GDP per capita for 210 countries from 1950 to 2015 James, Spencer L Gubbins, Paul Murray, Christopher JL Gakidou, Emmanuela Popul Health Metr Research BACKGROUND: Income has been extensively studied and utilized as a determinant of health. There are several sources of income expressed as gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, but there are no time series that are complete for the years between 1950 and 2015 for the 210 countries for which data exist. It is in the interest of population health research to establish a global time series that is complete from 1950 to 2015. METHODS: We collected GDP per capita estimates expressed in either constant US dollar terms or international dollar terms (corrected for purchasing power parity) from seven sources. We applied several stages of models, including ordinary least-squares regressions and mixed effects models, to complete each of the seven source series from 1950 to 2015. The three US dollar and four international dollar series were each averaged to produce two new GDP per capita series. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: Nine complete series from 1950 to 2015 for 210 countries are available for use. These series can serve various analytical purposes and can illustrate myriad economic trends and features. The derivation of the two new series allows for researchers to avoid any series-specific biases that may exist. The modeling approach used is flexible and will allow for yearly updating as new estimates are produced by the source series. CONCLUSION: GDP per capita is a necessary tool in population health research, and our development and implementation of a new method has allowed for the most comprehensive known time series to date. BioMed Central 2012-07-30 /pmc/articles/PMC3487911/ /pubmed/22846561 http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1478-7954-10-12 Text en Copyright ©2012 James et al.; licensee BioMed Central Ltd. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0 This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Research
James, Spencer L
Gubbins, Paul
Murray, Christopher JL
Gakidou, Emmanuela
Developing a comprehensive time series of GDP per capita for 210 countries from 1950 to 2015
title Developing a comprehensive time series of GDP per capita for 210 countries from 1950 to 2015
title_full Developing a comprehensive time series of GDP per capita for 210 countries from 1950 to 2015
title_fullStr Developing a comprehensive time series of GDP per capita for 210 countries from 1950 to 2015
title_full_unstemmed Developing a comprehensive time series of GDP per capita for 210 countries from 1950 to 2015
title_short Developing a comprehensive time series of GDP per capita for 210 countries from 1950 to 2015
title_sort developing a comprehensive time series of gdp per capita for 210 countries from 1950 to 2015
topic Research
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3487911/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22846561
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1478-7954-10-12
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