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How malaria models relate temperature to malaria transmission
BACKGROUND: It is well known that temperature has a major influence on the transmission of malaria parasites to their hosts. However, mathematical models do not always agree about the way in which temperature affects malaria transmission. METHODS: In this study, we compared six temperature dependent...
Autores principales: | , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
BioMed Central
2013
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3598736/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23332015 http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1756-3305-6-20 |
Sumario: | BACKGROUND: It is well known that temperature has a major influence on the transmission of malaria parasites to their hosts. However, mathematical models do not always agree about the way in which temperature affects malaria transmission. METHODS: In this study, we compared six temperature dependent mortality models for the malaria vector Anopheles gambiae sensu stricto. The evaluation is based on a comparison between the models, and observations from semi-field and laboratory settings. RESULTS: Our results show how different mortality calculations can influence the predicted dynamics of malaria transmission. CONCLUSIONS: With global warming a reality, the projected changes in malaria transmission will depend on which mortality model is used to make such predictions. |
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