Cargando…

How human location-specific contact patterns impact spatial transmission between populations?

The structured-population model has been widely used to study the spatial transmission of epidemics in human society. Many seminal works have demonstrated the impact of human mobility on the epidemic threshold, assuming that the contact pattern of individuals is mixing homogeneously. Inspired by the...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Wang, Lin, Wang, Zhen, Zhang, Yan, Li, Xiang
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group 2013
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3601479/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23511929
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep01468
_version_ 1782475770042515456
author Wang, Lin
Wang, Zhen
Zhang, Yan
Li, Xiang
author_facet Wang, Lin
Wang, Zhen
Zhang, Yan
Li, Xiang
author_sort Wang, Lin
collection PubMed
description The structured-population model has been widely used to study the spatial transmission of epidemics in human society. Many seminal works have demonstrated the impact of human mobility on the epidemic threshold, assuming that the contact pattern of individuals is mixing homogeneously. Inspired by the recent evidence of location-related factors in reality, we introduce two categories of location-specific heterogeneous human contact patterns into a phenomenological model based on the commuting and contagion processes, which significantly decrease the epidemic threshold and thus favor the outbreak of diseases. In more detail, we find that a monotonic mode presents for the variance of disease prevalence in dependence on the contact rates under the destination-driven contact scenario; while under the origin-driven scenario, enhancing the contact rate counterintuitively weakens the disease prevalence in some parametric regimes. The inclusion of heterogeneity of human contacts is expected to provide valuable support to public health implications.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-3601479
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2013
publisher Nature Publishing Group
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-36014792013-03-19 How human location-specific contact patterns impact spatial transmission between populations? Wang, Lin Wang, Zhen Zhang, Yan Li, Xiang Sci Rep Article The structured-population model has been widely used to study the spatial transmission of epidemics in human society. Many seminal works have demonstrated the impact of human mobility on the epidemic threshold, assuming that the contact pattern of individuals is mixing homogeneously. Inspired by the recent evidence of location-related factors in reality, we introduce two categories of location-specific heterogeneous human contact patterns into a phenomenological model based on the commuting and contagion processes, which significantly decrease the epidemic threshold and thus favor the outbreak of diseases. In more detail, we find that a monotonic mode presents for the variance of disease prevalence in dependence on the contact rates under the destination-driven contact scenario; while under the origin-driven scenario, enhancing the contact rate counterintuitively weakens the disease prevalence in some parametric regimes. The inclusion of heterogeneity of human contacts is expected to provide valuable support to public health implications. Nature Publishing Group 2013-03-19 /pmc/articles/PMC3601479/ /pubmed/23511929 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep01468 Text en Copyright © 2013, Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/ This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/
spellingShingle Article
Wang, Lin
Wang, Zhen
Zhang, Yan
Li, Xiang
How human location-specific contact patterns impact spatial transmission between populations?
title How human location-specific contact patterns impact spatial transmission between populations?
title_full How human location-specific contact patterns impact spatial transmission between populations?
title_fullStr How human location-specific contact patterns impact spatial transmission between populations?
title_full_unstemmed How human location-specific contact patterns impact spatial transmission between populations?
title_short How human location-specific contact patterns impact spatial transmission between populations?
title_sort how human location-specific contact patterns impact spatial transmission between populations?
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3601479/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23511929
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep01468
work_keys_str_mv AT wanglin howhumanlocationspecificcontactpatternsimpactspatialtransmissionbetweenpopulations
AT wangzhen howhumanlocationspecificcontactpatternsimpactspatialtransmissionbetweenpopulations
AT zhangyan howhumanlocationspecificcontactpatternsimpactspatialtransmissionbetweenpopulations
AT lixiang howhumanlocationspecificcontactpatternsimpactspatialtransmissionbetweenpopulations