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How human location-specific contact patterns impact spatial transmission between populations?
The structured-population model has been widely used to study the spatial transmission of epidemics in human society. Many seminal works have demonstrated the impact of human mobility on the epidemic threshold, assuming that the contact pattern of individuals is mixing homogeneously. Inspired by the...
Autores principales: | , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Nature Publishing Group
2013
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3601479/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23511929 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep01468 |
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author | Wang, Lin Wang, Zhen Zhang, Yan Li, Xiang |
author_facet | Wang, Lin Wang, Zhen Zhang, Yan Li, Xiang |
author_sort | Wang, Lin |
collection | PubMed |
description | The structured-population model has been widely used to study the spatial transmission of epidemics in human society. Many seminal works have demonstrated the impact of human mobility on the epidemic threshold, assuming that the contact pattern of individuals is mixing homogeneously. Inspired by the recent evidence of location-related factors in reality, we introduce two categories of location-specific heterogeneous human contact patterns into a phenomenological model based on the commuting and contagion processes, which significantly decrease the epidemic threshold and thus favor the outbreak of diseases. In more detail, we find that a monotonic mode presents for the variance of disease prevalence in dependence on the contact rates under the destination-driven contact scenario; while under the origin-driven scenario, enhancing the contact rate counterintuitively weakens the disease prevalence in some parametric regimes. The inclusion of heterogeneity of human contacts is expected to provide valuable support to public health implications. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-3601479 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2013 |
publisher | Nature Publishing Group |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-36014792013-03-19 How human location-specific contact patterns impact spatial transmission between populations? Wang, Lin Wang, Zhen Zhang, Yan Li, Xiang Sci Rep Article The structured-population model has been widely used to study the spatial transmission of epidemics in human society. Many seminal works have demonstrated the impact of human mobility on the epidemic threshold, assuming that the contact pattern of individuals is mixing homogeneously. Inspired by the recent evidence of location-related factors in reality, we introduce two categories of location-specific heterogeneous human contact patterns into a phenomenological model based on the commuting and contagion processes, which significantly decrease the epidemic threshold and thus favor the outbreak of diseases. In more detail, we find that a monotonic mode presents for the variance of disease prevalence in dependence on the contact rates under the destination-driven contact scenario; while under the origin-driven scenario, enhancing the contact rate counterintuitively weakens the disease prevalence in some parametric regimes. The inclusion of heterogeneity of human contacts is expected to provide valuable support to public health implications. Nature Publishing Group 2013-03-19 /pmc/articles/PMC3601479/ /pubmed/23511929 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep01468 Text en Copyright © 2013, Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/ This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/ |
spellingShingle | Article Wang, Lin Wang, Zhen Zhang, Yan Li, Xiang How human location-specific contact patterns impact spatial transmission between populations? |
title | How human location-specific contact patterns impact spatial transmission between populations? |
title_full | How human location-specific contact patterns impact spatial transmission between populations? |
title_fullStr | How human location-specific contact patterns impact spatial transmission between populations? |
title_full_unstemmed | How human location-specific contact patterns impact spatial transmission between populations? |
title_short | How human location-specific contact patterns impact spatial transmission between populations? |
title_sort | how human location-specific contact patterns impact spatial transmission between populations? |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3601479/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23511929 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep01468 |
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