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Can Google Trends search queries contribute to risk diversification?

Portfolio diversification and active risk management are essential parts of financial analysis which became even more crucial (and questioned) during and after the years of the Global Financial Crisis. We propose a novel approach to portfolio diversification using the information of searched items o...

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Autor principal: Kristoufek, Ladislav
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group 2013
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3776958/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24048448
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep02713
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author Kristoufek, Ladislav
author_facet Kristoufek, Ladislav
author_sort Kristoufek, Ladislav
collection PubMed
description Portfolio diversification and active risk management are essential parts of financial analysis which became even more crucial (and questioned) during and after the years of the Global Financial Crisis. We propose a novel approach to portfolio diversification using the information of searched items on Google Trends. The diversification is based on an idea that popularity of a stock measured by search queries is correlated with the stock riskiness. We penalize the popular stocks by assigning them lower portfolio weights and we bring forward the less popular, or peripheral, stocks to decrease the total riskiness of the portfolio. Our results indicate that such strategy dominates both the benchmark index and the uniformly weighted portfolio both in-sample and out-of-sample.
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spelling pubmed-37769582013-09-22 Can Google Trends search queries contribute to risk diversification? Kristoufek, Ladislav Sci Rep Article Portfolio diversification and active risk management are essential parts of financial analysis which became even more crucial (and questioned) during and after the years of the Global Financial Crisis. We propose a novel approach to portfolio diversification using the information of searched items on Google Trends. The diversification is based on an idea that popularity of a stock measured by search queries is correlated with the stock riskiness. We penalize the popular stocks by assigning them lower portfolio weights and we bring forward the less popular, or peripheral, stocks to decrease the total riskiness of the portfolio. Our results indicate that such strategy dominates both the benchmark index and the uniformly weighted portfolio both in-sample and out-of-sample. Nature Publishing Group 2013-09-19 /pmc/articles/PMC3776958/ /pubmed/24048448 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep02713 Text en Copyright © 2013, Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/ This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareALike 3.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/
spellingShingle Article
Kristoufek, Ladislav
Can Google Trends search queries contribute to risk diversification?
title Can Google Trends search queries contribute to risk diversification?
title_full Can Google Trends search queries contribute to risk diversification?
title_fullStr Can Google Trends search queries contribute to risk diversification?
title_full_unstemmed Can Google Trends search queries contribute to risk diversification?
title_short Can Google Trends search queries contribute to risk diversification?
title_sort can google trends search queries contribute to risk diversification?
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3776958/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24048448
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep02713
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