Baseline tumour measurements predict survival in advanced non-small cell lung cancer

BACKGROUND: The association between tumour measurements and survival has been studied extensively in early-stage and locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). We analysed these factors in patients with advanced NSCLC. METHODS: Data were derived from the E4599 trial of paclitaxel-carboplatin±bevacizumab. Associations between the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) baseline sum longest diameter (BSLD), response rate, progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were evaluated using univariate and multivariable Cox regression models. RESULTS: A total of 759 of the 850 patients (89%) in the E4599 trial had measurable diseases and were included in this analysis. The median BSLD was 7.5 cm. BSLD predicted OS (hazard ratio (HR) 1.41; P<0.001) and had a trend towards association with PFS (HR 1.14; P=0.08). The median OS was 12.6 months for patients with BSLD <7.5 cm compared with 9.5 months for BSLD ⩾7.5 cm. This association persisted in a multivariable model controlling multiple prognostic factors, including the presence and sites of extrathoracic disease (HR 1.24; P=0.01). There was no association between BSLD and response rate. CONCLUSION: Tumour measurements are associated with survival in the E4599 trial. If validated in other populations, this parameter may provide important prognostic information to patients and clinicians.