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“Wrong, but Useful”: Negotiating Uncertainty in Infectious Disease Modelling

For infectious disease dynamical models to inform policy for containment of infectious diseases the models must be able to predict; however, it is well recognised that such prediction will never be perfect. Nevertheless, the consensus is that although models are uncertain, some may yet inform effect...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Christley, Robert M., Mort, Maggie, Wynne, Brian, Wastling, Jonathan M., Heathwaite, A. Louise, Pickup, Roger, Austin, Zoë, Latham, Sophia M.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2013
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3797827/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24146851
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0076277