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Implementing Cargo Movement into Climate Based Risk Assessment of Vector-Borne Diseases

During the last decades the disease vector Aedes albopictus (Asian tiger mosquito) has rapidly spread around the globe. Global shipment of goods contributes to its permanent introduction. Invaded regions are facing novel and serious public health concerns, especially regarding the transmission of fo...

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Autores principales: Thomas, Stephanie Margarete, Tjaden, Nils Benjamin, van den Bos, Sanne, Beierkuhnlein, Carl
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: MDPI 2014
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3987038/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24658412
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph110303360
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author Thomas, Stephanie Margarete
Tjaden, Nils Benjamin
van den Bos, Sanne
Beierkuhnlein, Carl
author_facet Thomas, Stephanie Margarete
Tjaden, Nils Benjamin
van den Bos, Sanne
Beierkuhnlein, Carl
author_sort Thomas, Stephanie Margarete
collection PubMed
description During the last decades the disease vector Aedes albopictus (Asian tiger mosquito) has rapidly spread around the globe. Global shipment of goods contributes to its permanent introduction. Invaded regions are facing novel and serious public health concerns, especially regarding the transmission of formerly non-endemic arboviruses such as dengue and chikungunya. The further development and potential spread to other regions depends largely on their climatic suitability. Here, we have developed a tool for identifying and prioritizing European areas at risk for the establishment of Aedes albopictus by taking into account, for the first time, the freight imports from this mosquito’s endemic countries and the climate suitability at harbors and their surrounding regions. In a second step we consider the further transport of containers by train and inland waterways because these types of transport can be well controlled. We identify European regions at risk, where a huge amount of transported goods meet climatically suitable conditions for the disease vector. The current and future suitability of the climate for Aedes albopictus was modeled by a correlative niche model approach and the Regional Climate Model COSMO-CLM. This risk assessment combines impacts of globalization and global warming to improve effective and proactive interventions in disease vector surveillance and control actions.
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spelling pubmed-39870382014-04-15 Implementing Cargo Movement into Climate Based Risk Assessment of Vector-Borne Diseases Thomas, Stephanie Margarete Tjaden, Nils Benjamin van den Bos, Sanne Beierkuhnlein, Carl Int J Environ Res Public Health Article During the last decades the disease vector Aedes albopictus (Asian tiger mosquito) has rapidly spread around the globe. Global shipment of goods contributes to its permanent introduction. Invaded regions are facing novel and serious public health concerns, especially regarding the transmission of formerly non-endemic arboviruses such as dengue and chikungunya. The further development and potential spread to other regions depends largely on their climatic suitability. Here, we have developed a tool for identifying and prioritizing European areas at risk for the establishment of Aedes albopictus by taking into account, for the first time, the freight imports from this mosquito’s endemic countries and the climate suitability at harbors and their surrounding regions. In a second step we consider the further transport of containers by train and inland waterways because these types of transport can be well controlled. We identify European regions at risk, where a huge amount of transported goods meet climatically suitable conditions for the disease vector. The current and future suitability of the climate for Aedes albopictus was modeled by a correlative niche model approach and the Regional Climate Model COSMO-CLM. This risk assessment combines impacts of globalization and global warming to improve effective and proactive interventions in disease vector surveillance and control actions. MDPI 2014-03-20 2014-03 /pmc/articles/PMC3987038/ /pubmed/24658412 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph110303360 Text en © 2014 by the authors; licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/).
spellingShingle Article
Thomas, Stephanie Margarete
Tjaden, Nils Benjamin
van den Bos, Sanne
Beierkuhnlein, Carl
Implementing Cargo Movement into Climate Based Risk Assessment of Vector-Borne Diseases
title Implementing Cargo Movement into Climate Based Risk Assessment of Vector-Borne Diseases
title_full Implementing Cargo Movement into Climate Based Risk Assessment of Vector-Borne Diseases
title_fullStr Implementing Cargo Movement into Climate Based Risk Assessment of Vector-Borne Diseases
title_full_unstemmed Implementing Cargo Movement into Climate Based Risk Assessment of Vector-Borne Diseases
title_short Implementing Cargo Movement into Climate Based Risk Assessment of Vector-Borne Diseases
title_sort implementing cargo movement into climate based risk assessment of vector-borne diseases
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3987038/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24658412
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph110303360
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