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Alcohol Tax Policy and Related Mortality. An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis of a Rapidly Developed Chinese Population, 1981–2010

To delineate the temporal dynamics between alcohol tax policy changes and related health outcomes, this study examined the age, period and cohort effects on alcohol-related mortality in relation to changes in government alcohol policies. We used the age-period-cohort modeling to analyze retrospectiv...

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Autores principales: Chung, Roger Y., Kim, Jean H., Yip, Benjamin H., Wong, Samuel Y. S., Wong, Martin C. S., Chung, Vincent C. H., Griffiths, Sian M.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2014
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4143164/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25153324
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0099906
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author Chung, Roger Y.
Kim, Jean H.
Yip, Benjamin H.
Wong, Samuel Y. S.
Wong, Martin C. S.
Chung, Vincent C. H.
Griffiths, Sian M.
author_facet Chung, Roger Y.
Kim, Jean H.
Yip, Benjamin H.
Wong, Samuel Y. S.
Wong, Martin C. S.
Chung, Vincent C. H.
Griffiths, Sian M.
author_sort Chung, Roger Y.
collection PubMed
description To delineate the temporal dynamics between alcohol tax policy changes and related health outcomes, this study examined the age, period and cohort effects on alcohol-related mortality in relation to changes in government alcohol policies. We used the age-period-cohort modeling to analyze retrospective mortality data over 30 years from 1981 to 2010 in a rapidly developed Chinese population, Hong Kong. Alcohol-related mortality from 1) chronic causes, 2) acute causes, 3) all (chronic+acute) causes and 4) causes 100% attributable to alcohol, as defined according to the Alcohol-Related Disease Impact (ARDI) criteria developed by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, were examined. The findings illustrated the possible effects of alcohol policy changes on adult alcohol-related mortality. The age-standardized mortality trends were generally in decline, with fluctuations that coincided with the timing of the alcohol policy changes. The age-period-cohort analyses demonstrated possible temporal dynamics between alcohol policy changes and alcohol-related mortality through the period effects, and also generational impact of alcohol policy changes through the cohort effects. Based on the illustrated association between the dramatic increase of alcohol imports in the mid-1980s and the increased alcohol-related mortality risk of the generations coming of age of majority at that time, attention should be paid to generations coming of drinking age during the 2007–2008 duty reduction.
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spelling pubmed-41431642014-08-27 Alcohol Tax Policy and Related Mortality. An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis of a Rapidly Developed Chinese Population, 1981–2010 Chung, Roger Y. Kim, Jean H. Yip, Benjamin H. Wong, Samuel Y. S. Wong, Martin C. S. Chung, Vincent C. H. Griffiths, Sian M. PLoS One Research Article To delineate the temporal dynamics between alcohol tax policy changes and related health outcomes, this study examined the age, period and cohort effects on alcohol-related mortality in relation to changes in government alcohol policies. We used the age-period-cohort modeling to analyze retrospective mortality data over 30 years from 1981 to 2010 in a rapidly developed Chinese population, Hong Kong. Alcohol-related mortality from 1) chronic causes, 2) acute causes, 3) all (chronic+acute) causes and 4) causes 100% attributable to alcohol, as defined according to the Alcohol-Related Disease Impact (ARDI) criteria developed by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, were examined. The findings illustrated the possible effects of alcohol policy changes on adult alcohol-related mortality. The age-standardized mortality trends were generally in decline, with fluctuations that coincided with the timing of the alcohol policy changes. The age-period-cohort analyses demonstrated possible temporal dynamics between alcohol policy changes and alcohol-related mortality through the period effects, and also generational impact of alcohol policy changes through the cohort effects. Based on the illustrated association between the dramatic increase of alcohol imports in the mid-1980s and the increased alcohol-related mortality risk of the generations coming of age of majority at that time, attention should be paid to generations coming of drinking age during the 2007–2008 duty reduction. Public Library of Science 2014-08-25 /pmc/articles/PMC4143164/ /pubmed/25153324 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0099906 Text en © 2014 Chung et al http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are properly credited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Chung, Roger Y.
Kim, Jean H.
Yip, Benjamin H.
Wong, Samuel Y. S.
Wong, Martin C. S.
Chung, Vincent C. H.
Griffiths, Sian M.
Alcohol Tax Policy and Related Mortality. An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis of a Rapidly Developed Chinese Population, 1981–2010
title Alcohol Tax Policy and Related Mortality. An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis of a Rapidly Developed Chinese Population, 1981–2010
title_full Alcohol Tax Policy and Related Mortality. An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis of a Rapidly Developed Chinese Population, 1981–2010
title_fullStr Alcohol Tax Policy and Related Mortality. An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis of a Rapidly Developed Chinese Population, 1981–2010
title_full_unstemmed Alcohol Tax Policy and Related Mortality. An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis of a Rapidly Developed Chinese Population, 1981–2010
title_short Alcohol Tax Policy and Related Mortality. An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis of a Rapidly Developed Chinese Population, 1981–2010
title_sort alcohol tax policy and related mortality. an age-period-cohort analysis of a rapidly developed chinese population, 1981–2010
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4143164/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25153324
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0099906
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