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Integrating Temperature-Dependent Life Table Data into a Matrix Projection Model for Drosophila suzukii Population Estimation
Temperature-dependent fecundity and survival data was integrated into a matrix population model to describe relative Drosophila suzukii Matsumura (Diptera: Drosophilidae) population increase and age structure based on environmental conditions. This novel modification of the classic Leslie matrix pop...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Public Library of Science
2014
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4156384/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25192013 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0106909 |
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author | Wiman, Nik G. Walton, Vaughn M. Dalton, Daniel T. Anfora, Gianfranco Burrack, Hannah J. Chiu, Joanna C. Daane, Kent M. Grassi, Alberto Miller, Betsey Tochen, Samantha Wang, Xingeng Ioriatti, Claudio |
author_facet | Wiman, Nik G. Walton, Vaughn M. Dalton, Daniel T. Anfora, Gianfranco Burrack, Hannah J. Chiu, Joanna C. Daane, Kent M. Grassi, Alberto Miller, Betsey Tochen, Samantha Wang, Xingeng Ioriatti, Claudio |
author_sort | Wiman, Nik G. |
collection | PubMed |
description | Temperature-dependent fecundity and survival data was integrated into a matrix population model to describe relative Drosophila suzukii Matsumura (Diptera: Drosophilidae) population increase and age structure based on environmental conditions. This novel modification of the classic Leslie matrix population model is presented as a way to examine how insect populations interact with the environment, and has application as a predictor of population density. For D. suzukii, we examined model implications for pest pressure on crops. As case studies, we examined model predictions in three small fruit production regions in the United States (US) and one in Italy. These production regions have distinctly different climates. In general, patterns of adult D. suzukii trap activity broadly mimicked seasonal population levels predicted by the model using only temperature data. Age structure of estimated populations suggest that trap and fruit infestation data are of limited value and are insufficient for model validation. Thus, we suggest alternative experiments for validation. The model is advantageous in that it provides stage-specific population estimation, which can potentially guide management strategies and provide unique opportunities to simulate stage-specific management effects such as insecticide applications or the effect of biological control on a specific life-stage. The two factors that drive initiation of the model are suitable temperatures (biofix) and availability of a suitable host medium (fruit). Although there are many factors affecting population dynamics of D. suzukii in the field, temperature-dependent survival and reproduction are believed to be the main drivers for D. suzukii populations. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-4156384 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2014 |
publisher | Public Library of Science |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-41563842014-09-09 Integrating Temperature-Dependent Life Table Data into a Matrix Projection Model for Drosophila suzukii Population Estimation Wiman, Nik G. Walton, Vaughn M. Dalton, Daniel T. Anfora, Gianfranco Burrack, Hannah J. Chiu, Joanna C. Daane, Kent M. Grassi, Alberto Miller, Betsey Tochen, Samantha Wang, Xingeng Ioriatti, Claudio PLoS One Research Article Temperature-dependent fecundity and survival data was integrated into a matrix population model to describe relative Drosophila suzukii Matsumura (Diptera: Drosophilidae) population increase and age structure based on environmental conditions. This novel modification of the classic Leslie matrix population model is presented as a way to examine how insect populations interact with the environment, and has application as a predictor of population density. For D. suzukii, we examined model implications for pest pressure on crops. As case studies, we examined model predictions in three small fruit production regions in the United States (US) and one in Italy. These production regions have distinctly different climates. In general, patterns of adult D. suzukii trap activity broadly mimicked seasonal population levels predicted by the model using only temperature data. Age structure of estimated populations suggest that trap and fruit infestation data are of limited value and are insufficient for model validation. Thus, we suggest alternative experiments for validation. The model is advantageous in that it provides stage-specific population estimation, which can potentially guide management strategies and provide unique opportunities to simulate stage-specific management effects such as insecticide applications or the effect of biological control on a specific life-stage. The two factors that drive initiation of the model are suitable temperatures (biofix) and availability of a suitable host medium (fruit). Although there are many factors affecting population dynamics of D. suzukii in the field, temperature-dependent survival and reproduction are believed to be the main drivers for D. suzukii populations. Public Library of Science 2014-09-05 /pmc/articles/PMC4156384/ /pubmed/25192013 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0106909 Text en © 2014 Wiman et al http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are properly credited. |
spellingShingle | Research Article Wiman, Nik G. Walton, Vaughn M. Dalton, Daniel T. Anfora, Gianfranco Burrack, Hannah J. Chiu, Joanna C. Daane, Kent M. Grassi, Alberto Miller, Betsey Tochen, Samantha Wang, Xingeng Ioriatti, Claudio Integrating Temperature-Dependent Life Table Data into a Matrix Projection Model for Drosophila suzukii Population Estimation |
title | Integrating Temperature-Dependent Life Table Data into a Matrix Projection Model for Drosophila suzukii Population Estimation |
title_full | Integrating Temperature-Dependent Life Table Data into a Matrix Projection Model for Drosophila suzukii Population Estimation |
title_fullStr | Integrating Temperature-Dependent Life Table Data into a Matrix Projection Model for Drosophila suzukii Population Estimation |
title_full_unstemmed | Integrating Temperature-Dependent Life Table Data into a Matrix Projection Model for Drosophila suzukii Population Estimation |
title_short | Integrating Temperature-Dependent Life Table Data into a Matrix Projection Model for Drosophila suzukii Population Estimation |
title_sort | integrating temperature-dependent life table data into a matrix projection model for drosophila suzukii population estimation |
topic | Research Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4156384/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25192013 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0106909 |
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