Visceral adiposity index and risks of cardiovascular events and mortality in prevalent hemodialysis patients

BACKGROUND: The visceral adiposity index (VAI) is a newly-derived measure of visceral adiposity with well-validated predictive power for cardiovascular (CV) outcomes in the general population. However, this predictability has not been investigated in hemodialysis patients, and whether VAI is superior to waist circumference (WC) and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR) in predicting CV outcomes and survival in hemodialysis patients remains unknown. METHODS: We performed a prospective study including 464 prevalent hemodialysis patients. The composite outcome was the occurrence of death and CV events during follow-up. Using multivariate Cox regression analysis, VAI, WC and WHtR were tested for the predictive power of outcomes. To evaluate the predictive performance of the VAI, WC and WHtR, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis was performed. RESULTS: VAI, WC and WHtR positively correlated with each other. Patients with a higher VAI (tertile 3 vs. tertile 1, adjusted hazard ratio (HR), 1.65; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.12-2.42; tertile 2 vs. tertile 1, adjusted HR, 1.52; 95% CI, 1.1-2.18) had more composite outcomes. VAI had a similar predictive power of all-cause mortality to WC and WHtR, but superior predictive power of composite and CV outcomes to WC when analyzed by a stepwise forward likelihood ratio test. In time-dependent ROC analysis, VAI, WC and WHtR showed similar predictive performance for outcomes. CONCLUSION: VAI is an optimal method to measure visceral adiposity to assess long-term CV outcomes and all-cause mortality in prevalent hemodialysis patients. VAI may provide a superior predictive power of CV outcomes to WC and WHtR. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01457625