Cargando…

Predicting climate change effects on wetland ecosystem services using species distribution modeling and plant functional traits

Wetlands provide multiple ecosystem services, the sustainable use of which requires knowledge of the underlying ecological mechanisms. Functional traits, particularly the community-weighted mean trait (CWMT), provide a strong link between species communities and ecosystem functioning. We here combin...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Moor, Helen, Hylander, Kristoffer, Norberg, Jon
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Netherlands 2015
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4288999/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25576286
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13280-014-0593-9
_version_ 1782352039000408064
author Moor, Helen
Hylander, Kristoffer
Norberg, Jon
author_facet Moor, Helen
Hylander, Kristoffer
Norberg, Jon
author_sort Moor, Helen
collection PubMed
description Wetlands provide multiple ecosystem services, the sustainable use of which requires knowledge of the underlying ecological mechanisms. Functional traits, particularly the community-weighted mean trait (CWMT), provide a strong link between species communities and ecosystem functioning. We here combine species distribution modeling and plant functional traits to estimate the direction of change of ecosystem processes under climate change. We model changes in CWMT values for traits relevant to three key services, focusing on the regional species pool in the Norrström area (central Sweden) and three main wetland types. Our method predicts proportional shifts toward faster growing, more productive and taller species, which tend to increase CWMT values of specific leaf area and canopy height, whereas changes in root depth vary. The predicted changes in CWMT values suggest a potential increase in flood attenuation services, a potential increase in short (but not long)-term nutrient retention, and ambiguous outcomes for carbon sequestration. ELECTRONIC SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL: The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s13280-014-0593-9) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-4288999
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2015
publisher Springer Netherlands
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-42889992015-01-15 Predicting climate change effects on wetland ecosystem services using species distribution modeling and plant functional traits Moor, Helen Hylander, Kristoffer Norberg, Jon Ambio Article Wetlands provide multiple ecosystem services, the sustainable use of which requires knowledge of the underlying ecological mechanisms. Functional traits, particularly the community-weighted mean trait (CWMT), provide a strong link between species communities and ecosystem functioning. We here combine species distribution modeling and plant functional traits to estimate the direction of change of ecosystem processes under climate change. We model changes in CWMT values for traits relevant to three key services, focusing on the regional species pool in the Norrström area (central Sweden) and three main wetland types. Our method predicts proportional shifts toward faster growing, more productive and taller species, which tend to increase CWMT values of specific leaf area and canopy height, whereas changes in root depth vary. The predicted changes in CWMT values suggest a potential increase in flood attenuation services, a potential increase in short (but not long)-term nutrient retention, and ambiguous outcomes for carbon sequestration. ELECTRONIC SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL: The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s13280-014-0593-9) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users. Springer Netherlands 2015-01-09 2015-01 /pmc/articles/PMC4288999/ /pubmed/25576286 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13280-014-0593-9 Text en © The Author(s) 2015 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits any use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author(s) and the source are credited.
spellingShingle Article
Moor, Helen
Hylander, Kristoffer
Norberg, Jon
Predicting climate change effects on wetland ecosystem services using species distribution modeling and plant functional traits
title Predicting climate change effects on wetland ecosystem services using species distribution modeling and plant functional traits
title_full Predicting climate change effects on wetland ecosystem services using species distribution modeling and plant functional traits
title_fullStr Predicting climate change effects on wetland ecosystem services using species distribution modeling and plant functional traits
title_full_unstemmed Predicting climate change effects on wetland ecosystem services using species distribution modeling and plant functional traits
title_short Predicting climate change effects on wetland ecosystem services using species distribution modeling and plant functional traits
title_sort predicting climate change effects on wetland ecosystem services using species distribution modeling and plant functional traits
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4288999/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25576286
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13280-014-0593-9
work_keys_str_mv AT moorhelen predictingclimatechangeeffectsonwetlandecosystemservicesusingspeciesdistributionmodelingandplantfunctionaltraits
AT hylanderkristoffer predictingclimatechangeeffectsonwetlandecosystemservicesusingspeciesdistributionmodelingandplantfunctionaltraits
AT norbergjon predictingclimatechangeeffectsonwetlandecosystemservicesusingspeciesdistributionmodelingandplantfunctionaltraits