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HAND-FOOT-AND-MOUTH DISEASE EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STATUS AND RELATIONSHIP WITH METEOROLOGICAL VARIABLES IN GUANGZHOU, SOUTHERN CHINA, 2008-2012
Hand-foot-and-mouth disease (HFMD) is becoming one of the extremely common airborne and contact transmission diseases in Guangzhou, southern China, leading public health authorities to be concerned about its increased incidence. In this study, it was used an ecological study plus the negative binomi...
Autores principales: | , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Instituto de Medicina Tropical
2014
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4296876/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25351550 http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S0036-46652014000600014 |
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author | Li, Tiegang Yang, Zhicong Liu, Xiangyi Kang, Yan Wang, Ming |
author_facet | Li, Tiegang Yang, Zhicong Liu, Xiangyi Kang, Yan Wang, Ming |
author_sort | Li, Tiegang |
collection | PubMed |
description | Hand-foot-and-mouth disease (HFMD) is becoming one of the extremely common airborne and contact transmission diseases in Guangzhou, southern China, leading public health authorities to be concerned about its increased incidence. In this study, it was used an ecological study plus the negative binomial regression to identify the epidemic status of HFMD and its relationship with meteorological variables. During 2008-2012, a total of 173,524 HFMD confirmed cases were reported, 12 cases of death, yielding a fatality rate of 0.69 per 10,000. The annual incidence rates from 2008 to 2012 were 60.56, 132.44, 311.40, 402.76, and 468.59 (per 100,000), respectively, showing a rapid increasing trend. Each 1 °C rise in temperature corresponded to an increase of 9.47% (95% CI 9.36% to 9.58%) in the weekly number of HFMD cases, while a one hPa rise in atmospheric pressure corresponded to a decrease in the number of cases by 7.53% (95% CI -7.60% to -7.45%). Similarly, each one percent rise in relative humidity corresponded to an increase of 1.48% or 3.3%, and a one meter per hour rise in wind speed corresponded to an increase of 2.18% or 4.57%, in the weekly number of HFMD cases, depending on the variables considered in the model. These findings revealed that epidemic status of HFMD in Guangzhou is characterized by high morbidity but low fatality. Weather factors had a significant influence on the incidence of HFMD. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-4296876 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2014 |
publisher | Instituto de Medicina Tropical |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-42968762015-01-20 HAND-FOOT-AND-MOUTH DISEASE EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STATUS AND RELATIONSHIP WITH METEOROLOGICAL VARIABLES IN GUANGZHOU, SOUTHERN CHINA, 2008-2012 Li, Tiegang Yang, Zhicong Liu, Xiangyi Kang, Yan Wang, Ming Rev Inst Med Trop Sao Paulo Virology Hand-foot-and-mouth disease (HFMD) is becoming one of the extremely common airborne and contact transmission diseases in Guangzhou, southern China, leading public health authorities to be concerned about its increased incidence. In this study, it was used an ecological study plus the negative binomial regression to identify the epidemic status of HFMD and its relationship with meteorological variables. During 2008-2012, a total of 173,524 HFMD confirmed cases were reported, 12 cases of death, yielding a fatality rate of 0.69 per 10,000. The annual incidence rates from 2008 to 2012 were 60.56, 132.44, 311.40, 402.76, and 468.59 (per 100,000), respectively, showing a rapid increasing trend. Each 1 °C rise in temperature corresponded to an increase of 9.47% (95% CI 9.36% to 9.58%) in the weekly number of HFMD cases, while a one hPa rise in atmospheric pressure corresponded to a decrease in the number of cases by 7.53% (95% CI -7.60% to -7.45%). Similarly, each one percent rise in relative humidity corresponded to an increase of 1.48% or 3.3%, and a one meter per hour rise in wind speed corresponded to an increase of 2.18% or 4.57%, in the weekly number of HFMD cases, depending on the variables considered in the model. These findings revealed that epidemic status of HFMD in Guangzhou is characterized by high morbidity but low fatality. Weather factors had a significant influence on the incidence of HFMD. Instituto de Medicina Tropical 2014 /pmc/articles/PMC4296876/ /pubmed/25351550 http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S0036-46652014000600014 Text en http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/ This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License, which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. |
spellingShingle | Virology Li, Tiegang Yang, Zhicong Liu, Xiangyi Kang, Yan Wang, Ming HAND-FOOT-AND-MOUTH DISEASE EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STATUS AND RELATIONSHIP WITH METEOROLOGICAL VARIABLES IN GUANGZHOU, SOUTHERN CHINA, 2008-2012 |
title | HAND-FOOT-AND-MOUTH DISEASE EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STATUS AND
RELATIONSHIP WITH METEOROLOGICAL VARIABLES IN GUANGZHOU, SOUTHERN CHINA,
2008-2012 |
title_full | HAND-FOOT-AND-MOUTH DISEASE EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STATUS AND
RELATIONSHIP WITH METEOROLOGICAL VARIABLES IN GUANGZHOU, SOUTHERN CHINA,
2008-2012 |
title_fullStr | HAND-FOOT-AND-MOUTH DISEASE EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STATUS AND
RELATIONSHIP WITH METEOROLOGICAL VARIABLES IN GUANGZHOU, SOUTHERN CHINA,
2008-2012 |
title_full_unstemmed | HAND-FOOT-AND-MOUTH DISEASE EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STATUS AND
RELATIONSHIP WITH METEOROLOGICAL VARIABLES IN GUANGZHOU, SOUTHERN CHINA,
2008-2012 |
title_short | HAND-FOOT-AND-MOUTH DISEASE EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STATUS AND
RELATIONSHIP WITH METEOROLOGICAL VARIABLES IN GUANGZHOU, SOUTHERN CHINA,
2008-2012 |
title_sort | hand-foot-and-mouth disease epidemiological status and
relationship with meteorological variables in guangzhou, southern china,
2008-2012 |
topic | Virology |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4296876/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25351550 http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S0036-46652014000600014 |
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