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Do seasonal-to-decadal climate predictions underestimate the predictability of the real world?

Seasonal-to-decadal predictions are inevitably uncertain, depending on the size of the predictable signal relative to unpredictable chaos. Uncertainties can be accounted for using ensemble techniques, permitting quantitative probabilistic forecasts. In a perfect system, each ensemble member would re...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales:	Eade, Rosie, Smith, Doug, Scaife, Adam, Wallace, Emily, Dunstone, Nick, Hermanson, Leon, Robinson, Niall
Formato:	Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:	English
Publicado:	BlackWell Publishing Ltd 2014
Materias:	Research Letters
Acceso en línea:	https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4373130/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25821271 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL061146

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