Change in ankle-brachial index over time and mortality in diabetics with proteinuria

Peripheral arterial disease is common in diabetic chronic kidney disease (CKD) and is characterized either by abnormally low or high ankle-brachial index (ABI). Whether low or high ABI carries similar prognostic value is unknown. The association of baseline ABI with all-cause mortality over 40 ± 21 months (mean ± SD) was ascertained in 167 proteinuric diabetics (age 57 ± 7 years; median urine protein-creatinine, 2.5 mg/mg). Association of change in ABI with all-cause mortality was determined in 75 subjects with normal ABI (0.9 – 1.3) at baseline. Among 167 participants, 41% had an abnormal ABI: < 0.9, 18%; and > 1.3 or non-compressible arteries, 23%. Only individuals with low ABI had a significantly higher risk for all-cause mortality (hazards ratio (95% confidence interval), HR: 2.23 (1.07, 4.65)). In subjects with normal ABI at baseline with follow-up measurement (n = 75), vascular disease worsened in 39% over 23 ± 6 months: 17% had either a decrease in ABI by ≥ 0.1 or a final ABI < 0.9, and 21% had a final ABI > 1.3 or non-compressible arteries. Only individuals who had a decrease in ABI over time had a significantly higher risk for death (adjusted HR, 7.41 (1.63, 33.65)). Peripheral arterial disease is not uncommon and progresses rapidly in individuals with diabetes and proteinuria. Low or declining ABI is a strong predictor of all-cause mortality. Routine measurement of ABI is a simple bed-side procedure that may permit easy risk-stratification in diabetic CKD patients.