Time-varying impact of comorbidities on mortality after liver transplantation: a national cohort study using linked clinical and administrative data

OBJECTIVE: We assessed the impact of comorbidity on mortality in three periods after liver transplantation (first 90 days, 90 days–5 years and 5–10 years). DESIGN: Prospective cohort study using records from the UK Liver Transplant Audit (UKLTA) linked to Hospital Episode Statistics (HES), an administrative database of hospital admissions in the English National Health Service (NHS). Comorbidities relevant for liver transplantation were identified from the 10th revision of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10) codes in HES records of admissions in the year preceding their operation. Multivariable Cox regression was used to estimate HRs for three different time periods after liver transplantation. SETTING: All liver transplant centres in the NHS hospitals in England. PARTICIPANTS: Adults who received a first elective liver transplant between April 1997 and March 2010 in the linked UKLTA-HES database. OUTCOMES: Patient mortality in three different time periods after transplantation. RESULTS: Among 3837 recipients, 45.1% had comorbidities. Recipients with cardiovascular disease had statistically significantly higher mortality in all three periods after transplantation (first 90 days: HR=2.0; 95% CI 1.4 to 2.9, 90 days–5 years: 1.6; 1.2 to 2.2, beyond 5 years: 2.8; 1.7 to 4.4). Prior congestive cardiac failure (3.2; 2.1 to 4.9) significantly increased mortality only in the first 90 days. History of non-hepatic malignancy appeared to increase risk over all periods, but significantly only in the first 90 days (1.9; 1.0 to 3.6). A diagnosis of connective tissue disease, dementia, diabetes, chronic pulmonary and renal disease did not have a significant impact on mortality in any period. CONCLUSIONS: The impact of comorbidities present at the time of transplantation changes with time after transplantation. Renal disease, pulmonary disease and diabetes had no impact on mortality in contrast to previous reports.