Breast cancer incidence and mortality in a transitioning Chinese population: current and future trends

BACKGROUND: Projections of future trends in cancer incidence and mortality are important for public health planning. METHODS: By using 1976–2010 data in Hong Kong, we fitted Poisson age-period-cohort models and made projections for future breast cancer incidence and mortality to 2025. RESULTS: Age-s...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Wong, I O L, Schooling, C M, Cowling, B J, Leung, G M
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group 2015
Materias:
Epidemiology
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4453599/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25290086
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/bjc.2014.532
Descripción
Sumario:BACKGROUND: Projections of future trends in cancer incidence and mortality are important for public health planning. METHODS: By using 1976–2010 data in Hong Kong, we fitted Poisson age-period-cohort models and made projections for future breast cancer incidence and mortality to 2025. RESULTS: Age-standardised breast cancer incidence (/mortality) is projected to increase (/decline) from 56.7 (/9.3) in 2011–2015 to 62.5 (/8.6) per 100 000 women in 2021–2025. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence pattern may relate to Hong Kong's socio-economic developmental history, while falling mortality trends are, most likely, due to improvements in survival from treatment advancement and improved health service delivery.

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