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Systematic land climate and evapotranspiration biases in CMIP5 simulations

[1] Land climate is important for human population since it affects inhabited areas. Here we evaluate the realism of simulated evapotranspiration (ET), precipitation, and temperature in the CMIP5 multimodel ensemble on continental areas. For ET, a newly compiled synthesis data set prepared within th...

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Autores principales: Mueller, B, Seneviratne, S I
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: BlackWell Publishing Ltd 2014
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4459216/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26074635
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013GL058055
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author Mueller, B
Seneviratne, S I
author_facet Mueller, B
Seneviratne, S I
author_sort Mueller, B
collection PubMed
description [1] Land climate is important for human population since it affects inhabited areas. Here we evaluate the realism of simulated evapotranspiration (ET), precipitation, and temperature in the CMIP5 multimodel ensemble on continental areas. For ET, a newly compiled synthesis data set prepared within the Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment-sponsored LandFlux-EVAL project is used. The results reveal systematic ET biases in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) simulations, with an overestimation in most regions, especially in Europe, Africa, China, Australia, Western North America, and part of the Amazon region. The global average overestimation amounts to 0.17 mm/d. This bias is more pronounced than in the previous CMIP3 ensemble (overestimation of 0.09 mm/d). Consistent with the ET overestimation, precipitation is also overestimated relative to existing reference data sets. We suggest that the identified biases in ET can explain respective systematic biases in temperature in many of the considered regions. The biases additionally display a seasonal dependence and are generally of opposite sign (ET underestimation and temperature overestimation) in boreal summer (June–August).
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spelling pubmed-44592162015-06-12 Systematic land climate and evapotranspiration biases in CMIP5 simulations Mueller, B Seneviratne, S I Geophys Res Lett Research Letters [1] Land climate is important for human population since it affects inhabited areas. Here we evaluate the realism of simulated evapotranspiration (ET), precipitation, and temperature in the CMIP5 multimodel ensemble on continental areas. For ET, a newly compiled synthesis data set prepared within the Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment-sponsored LandFlux-EVAL project is used. The results reveal systematic ET biases in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) simulations, with an overestimation in most regions, especially in Europe, Africa, China, Australia, Western North America, and part of the Amazon region. The global average overestimation amounts to 0.17 mm/d. This bias is more pronounced than in the previous CMIP3 ensemble (overestimation of 0.09 mm/d). Consistent with the ET overestimation, precipitation is also overestimated relative to existing reference data sets. We suggest that the identified biases in ET can explain respective systematic biases in temperature in many of the considered regions. The biases additionally display a seasonal dependence and are generally of opposite sign (ET underestimation and temperature overestimation) in boreal summer (June–August). BlackWell Publishing Ltd 2014-01-16 2014-01-08 /pmc/articles/PMC4459216/ /pubmed/26074635 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013GL058055 Text en ©2013. The Authors. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/ This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs License, which permits use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non-commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made.
spellingShingle Research Letters
Mueller, B
Seneviratne, S I
Systematic land climate and evapotranspiration biases in CMIP5 simulations
title Systematic land climate and evapotranspiration biases in CMIP5 simulations
title_full Systematic land climate and evapotranspiration biases in CMIP5 simulations
title_fullStr Systematic land climate and evapotranspiration biases in CMIP5 simulations
title_full_unstemmed Systematic land climate and evapotranspiration biases in CMIP5 simulations
title_short Systematic land climate and evapotranspiration biases in CMIP5 simulations
title_sort systematic land climate and evapotranspiration biases in cmip5 simulations
topic Research Letters
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4459216/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26074635
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013GL058055
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