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Modeling structural change in spatial system dynamics: A Daisyworld example

System dynamics (SD) is an effective approach for helping reveal the temporal behavior of complex systems. Although there have been recent developments in expanding SD to include systems’ spatial dependencies, most applications have been restricted to the simulation of diffusion processes; this is e...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Neuwirth, C., Peck, A., Simonović, S.P.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier Science 2015
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4461191/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26109906
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.11.026
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author Neuwirth, C.
Peck, A.
Simonović, S.P.
author_facet Neuwirth, C.
Peck, A.
Simonović, S.P.
author_sort Neuwirth, C.
collection PubMed
description System dynamics (SD) is an effective approach for helping reveal the temporal behavior of complex systems. Although there have been recent developments in expanding SD to include systems’ spatial dependencies, most applications have been restricted to the simulation of diffusion processes; this is especially true for models on structural change (e.g. LULC modeling). To address this shortcoming, a Python program is proposed to tightly couple SD software to a Geographic Information System (GIS). The approach provides the required capacities for handling bidirectional and synchronized interactions of operations between SD and GIS. In order to illustrate the concept and the techniques proposed for simulating structural changes, a fictitious environment called Daisyworld has been recreated in a spatial system dynamics (SSD) environment. The comparison of spatial and non-spatial simulations emphasizes the importance of considering spatio-temporal feedbacks. Finally, practical applications of structural change models in agriculture and disaster management are proposed.
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spelling pubmed-44611912015-06-22 Modeling structural change in spatial system dynamics: A Daisyworld example Neuwirth, C. Peck, A. Simonović, S.P. Environ Model Softw Article System dynamics (SD) is an effective approach for helping reveal the temporal behavior of complex systems. Although there have been recent developments in expanding SD to include systems’ spatial dependencies, most applications have been restricted to the simulation of diffusion processes; this is especially true for models on structural change (e.g. LULC modeling). To address this shortcoming, a Python program is proposed to tightly couple SD software to a Geographic Information System (GIS). The approach provides the required capacities for handling bidirectional and synchronized interactions of operations between SD and GIS. In order to illustrate the concept and the techniques proposed for simulating structural changes, a fictitious environment called Daisyworld has been recreated in a spatial system dynamics (SSD) environment. The comparison of spatial and non-spatial simulations emphasizes the importance of considering spatio-temporal feedbacks. Finally, practical applications of structural change models in agriculture and disaster management are proposed. Elsevier Science 2015-03 /pmc/articles/PMC4461191/ /pubmed/26109906 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.11.026 Text en © 2014 The Authors http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/ This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/).
spellingShingle Article
Neuwirth, C.
Peck, A.
Simonović, S.P.
Modeling structural change in spatial system dynamics: A Daisyworld example
title Modeling structural change in spatial system dynamics: A Daisyworld example
title_full Modeling structural change in spatial system dynamics: A Daisyworld example
title_fullStr Modeling structural change in spatial system dynamics: A Daisyworld example
title_full_unstemmed Modeling structural change in spatial system dynamics: A Daisyworld example
title_short Modeling structural change in spatial system dynamics: A Daisyworld example
title_sort modeling structural change in spatial system dynamics: a daisyworld example
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4461191/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26109906
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.11.026
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