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How Does a Divided Population Respond to Change?

Most studies on the response of socioeconomic systems to a sudden shift focus on long-term equilibria or end points. Such narrow focus forgoes many valuable insights. Here we examine the transient dynamics of regime shift on a divided population, exemplified by societies divided ideologically, polit...

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Autores principales: Qubbaj, Murad R., Muneepeerakul, Rachata, Aggarwal, Rimjhim M., Anderies, John M.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2015
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4498743/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26161859
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0128121
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author Qubbaj, Murad R.
Muneepeerakul, Rachata
Aggarwal, Rimjhim M.
Anderies, John M.
author_facet Qubbaj, Murad R.
Muneepeerakul, Rachata
Aggarwal, Rimjhim M.
Anderies, John M.
author_sort Qubbaj, Murad R.
collection PubMed
description Most studies on the response of socioeconomic systems to a sudden shift focus on long-term equilibria or end points. Such narrow focus forgoes many valuable insights. Here we examine the transient dynamics of regime shift on a divided population, exemplified by societies divided ideologically, politically, economically, or technologically. Replicator dynamics is used to investigate the complex transient dynamics of the population response. Though simple, our modeling approach exhibits a surprisingly rich and diverse array of dynamics. Our results highlight the critical roles played by diversity in strategies and the magnitude of the shift. Importantly, it allows for a variety of strategies to arise organically as an integral part of the transient dynamics—as opposed to an independent process—of population response to a regime shift, providing a link between the population's past and future diversity patterns. Several combinations of different populations' strategy distributions and shifts were systematically investigated. Such rich dynamics highlight the challenges of anticipating the response of a divided population to a change. The findings in this paper can potentially improve our understanding of a wide range of socio-ecological and technological transitions.
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spelling pubmed-44987432015-07-17 How Does a Divided Population Respond to Change? Qubbaj, Murad R. Muneepeerakul, Rachata Aggarwal, Rimjhim M. Anderies, John M. PLoS One Research Article Most studies on the response of socioeconomic systems to a sudden shift focus on long-term equilibria or end points. Such narrow focus forgoes many valuable insights. Here we examine the transient dynamics of regime shift on a divided population, exemplified by societies divided ideologically, politically, economically, or technologically. Replicator dynamics is used to investigate the complex transient dynamics of the population response. Though simple, our modeling approach exhibits a surprisingly rich and diverse array of dynamics. Our results highlight the critical roles played by diversity in strategies and the magnitude of the shift. Importantly, it allows for a variety of strategies to arise organically as an integral part of the transient dynamics—as opposed to an independent process—of population response to a regime shift, providing a link between the population's past and future diversity patterns. Several combinations of different populations' strategy distributions and shifts were systematically investigated. Such rich dynamics highlight the challenges of anticipating the response of a divided population to a change. The findings in this paper can potentially improve our understanding of a wide range of socio-ecological and technological transitions. Public Library of Science 2015-07-10 /pmc/articles/PMC4498743/ /pubmed/26161859 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0128121 Text en © 2015 Qubbaj et al http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are properly credited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Qubbaj, Murad R.
Muneepeerakul, Rachata
Aggarwal, Rimjhim M.
Anderies, John M.
How Does a Divided Population Respond to Change?
title How Does a Divided Population Respond to Change?
title_full How Does a Divided Population Respond to Change?
title_fullStr How Does a Divided Population Respond to Change?
title_full_unstemmed How Does a Divided Population Respond to Change?
title_short How Does a Divided Population Respond to Change?
title_sort how does a divided population respond to change?
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4498743/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26161859
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0128121
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