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Epidemic Model with Isolation in Multilayer Networks

The Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model has successfully mimicked the propagation of such airborne diseases as influenza A (H1N1). Although the SIR model has recently been studied in a multilayer networks configuration, in almost all the research the isolation of infected individuals is disre...

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Autores principales: Zuzek, L. G. Alvarez, Stanley, H. E., Braunstein, L. A.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group 2015
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4502411/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26173897
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep12151
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author Zuzek, L. G. Alvarez
Stanley, H. E.
Braunstein, L. A.
author_facet Zuzek, L. G. Alvarez
Stanley, H. E.
Braunstein, L. A.
author_sort Zuzek, L. G. Alvarez
collection PubMed
description The Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model has successfully mimicked the propagation of such airborne diseases as influenza A (H1N1). Although the SIR model has recently been studied in a multilayer networks configuration, in almost all the research the isolation of infected individuals is disregarded. Hence we focus our study in an epidemic model in a two-layer network, and we use an isolation parameter w to measure the effect of quarantining infected individuals from both layers during an isolation period t(w). We call this process the Susceptible-Infected-Isolated-Recovered (SI(I)R) model. Using the framework of link percolation we find that isolation increases the critical epidemic threshold of the disease because the time in which infection can spread is reduced. In this scenario we find that this threshold increases with w and t(w). When the isolation period is maximum there is a critical threshold for w above which the disease never becomes an epidemic. We simulate the process and find an excellent agreement with the theoretical results.
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spelling pubmed-45024112015-07-17 Epidemic Model with Isolation in Multilayer Networks Zuzek, L. G. Alvarez Stanley, H. E. Braunstein, L. A. Sci Rep Article The Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model has successfully mimicked the propagation of such airborne diseases as influenza A (H1N1). Although the SIR model has recently been studied in a multilayer networks configuration, in almost all the research the isolation of infected individuals is disregarded. Hence we focus our study in an epidemic model in a two-layer network, and we use an isolation parameter w to measure the effect of quarantining infected individuals from both layers during an isolation period t(w). We call this process the Susceptible-Infected-Isolated-Recovered (SI(I)R) model. Using the framework of link percolation we find that isolation increases the critical epidemic threshold of the disease because the time in which infection can spread is reduced. In this scenario we find that this threshold increases with w and t(w). When the isolation period is maximum there is a critical threshold for w above which the disease never becomes an epidemic. We simulate the process and find an excellent agreement with the theoretical results. Nature Publishing Group 2015-07-15 /pmc/articles/PMC4502411/ /pubmed/26173897 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep12151 Text en Copyright © 2015, Macmillan Publishers Limited http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in the credit line; if the material is not included under the Creative Commons license, users will need to obtain permission from the license holder to reproduce the material. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
spellingShingle Article
Zuzek, L. G. Alvarez
Stanley, H. E.
Braunstein, L. A.
Epidemic Model with Isolation in Multilayer Networks
title Epidemic Model with Isolation in Multilayer Networks
title_full Epidemic Model with Isolation in Multilayer Networks
title_fullStr Epidemic Model with Isolation in Multilayer Networks
title_full_unstemmed Epidemic Model with Isolation in Multilayer Networks
title_short Epidemic Model with Isolation in Multilayer Networks
title_sort epidemic model with isolation in multilayer networks
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4502411/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26173897
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep12151
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