Bayesian probability estimates are not necessary to make choices satisfying Bayes’ rule in elementary situations

This paper has two aims. First, we investigate how often people make choices conforming to Bayes’ rule when natural sampling is applied. Second, we show that using Bayes’ rule is not necessary to make choices satisfying Bayes’ rule. Simpler methods, even fallacious heuristics, might prescribe correc...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Domurat, Artur, Kowalczuk, Olga, Idzikowska, Katarzyna, Borzymowska, Zuzanna, Nowak-Przygodzka, Marta
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Frontiers Media S.A. 2015
Materias:
Psychology
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4538240/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26347676
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2015.01194

Internet

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4538240/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26347676
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2015.01194

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