A Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methodology with bootstrap percentile estimates for predicting presidential election results in Ghana

Although, there exists numerous literature on the procedure for forecasting or predicting election results, in Ghana only opinion poll strategies have been used. To fill this gap, the paper develops Markov chain models for forecasting the 2016 presidential election results at the Regional, Zonal (i....

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Nortey, Ezekiel N. N., Ansah-Narh, Theophilus, Asah-Asante, Richard, Minkah, Richard
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer International Publishing 2015
Materias:
Methodology
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4582837/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26435890
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40064-015-1310-2

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