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Natural frequencies improve Bayesian reasoning in simple and complex inference tasks

Representing statistical information in terms of natural frequencies rather than probabilities improves performance in Bayesian inference tasks. This beneficial effect of natural frequencies has been demonstrated in a variety of applied domains such as medicine, law, and education. Yet all the resea...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Hoffrage, Ulrich, Krauss, Stefan, Martignon, Laura, Gigerenzer, Gerd
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Frontiers Media S.A. 2015
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4604268/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26528197
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2015.01473