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Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 1976-2014
The Democratic Republic of the Congo has experienced the most outbreaks of Ebola virus disease since the virus' discovery in 1976. This article provides for the first time a description and a line list for all outbreaks in this country, comprising 996 cases. Compared to patients over 15 years o...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
eLife Sciences Publications, Ltd
2015
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4629279/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26525597 http://dx.doi.org/10.7554/eLife.09015 |
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author | Rosello, Alicia Mossoko, Mathias Flasche, Stefan Van Hoek, Albert Jan Mbala, Placide Camacho, Anton Funk, Sebastian Kucharski, Adam Ilunga, Benoit Kebela Edmunds, W John Piot, Peter Baguelin, Marc Muyembe Tamfum, Jean-Jacques |
author_facet | Rosello, Alicia Mossoko, Mathias Flasche, Stefan Van Hoek, Albert Jan Mbala, Placide Camacho, Anton Funk, Sebastian Kucharski, Adam Ilunga, Benoit Kebela Edmunds, W John Piot, Peter Baguelin, Marc Muyembe Tamfum, Jean-Jacques |
author_sort | Rosello, Alicia |
collection | PubMed |
description | The Democratic Republic of the Congo has experienced the most outbreaks of Ebola virus disease since the virus' discovery in 1976. This article provides for the first time a description and a line list for all outbreaks in this country, comprising 996 cases. Compared to patients over 15 years old, the odds of dying were significantly lower in patients aged 5 to 15 and higher in children under five (with 100% mortality in those under 2 years old). The odds of dying increased by 11% per day that a patient was not hospitalised. Outbreaks with an initially high reproduction number, R (>3), were rapidly brought under control, whilst outbreaks with a lower initial R caused longer and generally larger outbreaks. These findings can inform the choice of target age groups for interventions and highlight the importance of both reducing the delay between symptom onset and hospitalisation and rapid national and international response. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.7554/eLife.09015.001 |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-4629279 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2015 |
publisher | eLife Sciences Publications, Ltd |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-46292792015-11-04 Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 1976-2014 Rosello, Alicia Mossoko, Mathias Flasche, Stefan Van Hoek, Albert Jan Mbala, Placide Camacho, Anton Funk, Sebastian Kucharski, Adam Ilunga, Benoit Kebela Edmunds, W John Piot, Peter Baguelin, Marc Muyembe Tamfum, Jean-Jacques eLife Epidemiology and Global Health The Democratic Republic of the Congo has experienced the most outbreaks of Ebola virus disease since the virus' discovery in 1976. This article provides for the first time a description and a line list for all outbreaks in this country, comprising 996 cases. Compared to patients over 15 years old, the odds of dying were significantly lower in patients aged 5 to 15 and higher in children under five (with 100% mortality in those under 2 years old). The odds of dying increased by 11% per day that a patient was not hospitalised. Outbreaks with an initially high reproduction number, R (>3), were rapidly brought under control, whilst outbreaks with a lower initial R caused longer and generally larger outbreaks. These findings can inform the choice of target age groups for interventions and highlight the importance of both reducing the delay between symptom onset and hospitalisation and rapid national and international response. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.7554/eLife.09015.001 eLife Sciences Publications, Ltd 2015-11-03 /pmc/articles/PMC4629279/ /pubmed/26525597 http://dx.doi.org/10.7554/eLife.09015 Text en © 2015, Rosello et al http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use and redistribution provided that the original author and source are credited. |
spellingShingle | Epidemiology and Global Health Rosello, Alicia Mossoko, Mathias Flasche, Stefan Van Hoek, Albert Jan Mbala, Placide Camacho, Anton Funk, Sebastian Kucharski, Adam Ilunga, Benoit Kebela Edmunds, W John Piot, Peter Baguelin, Marc Muyembe Tamfum, Jean-Jacques Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 1976-2014 |
title | Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 1976-2014 |
title_full | Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 1976-2014 |
title_fullStr | Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 1976-2014 |
title_full_unstemmed | Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 1976-2014 |
title_short | Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 1976-2014 |
title_sort | ebola virus disease in the democratic republic of the congo, 1976-2014 |
topic | Epidemiology and Global Health |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4629279/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26525597 http://dx.doi.org/10.7554/eLife.09015 |
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