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Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 1976-2014

The Democratic Republic of the Congo has experienced the most outbreaks of Ebola virus disease since the virus' discovery in 1976. This article provides for the first time a description and a line list for all outbreaks in this country, comprising 996 cases. Compared to patients over 15 years o...

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Autores principales: Rosello, Alicia, Mossoko, Mathias, Flasche, Stefan, Van Hoek, Albert Jan, Mbala, Placide, Camacho, Anton, Funk, Sebastian, Kucharski, Adam, Ilunga, Benoit Kebela, Edmunds, W John, Piot, Peter, Baguelin, Marc, Muyembe Tamfum, Jean-Jacques
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: eLife Sciences Publications, Ltd 2015
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4629279/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26525597
http://dx.doi.org/10.7554/eLife.09015
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author Rosello, Alicia
Mossoko, Mathias
Flasche, Stefan
Van Hoek, Albert Jan
Mbala, Placide
Camacho, Anton
Funk, Sebastian
Kucharski, Adam
Ilunga, Benoit Kebela
Edmunds, W John
Piot, Peter
Baguelin, Marc
Muyembe Tamfum, Jean-Jacques
author_facet Rosello, Alicia
Mossoko, Mathias
Flasche, Stefan
Van Hoek, Albert Jan
Mbala, Placide
Camacho, Anton
Funk, Sebastian
Kucharski, Adam
Ilunga, Benoit Kebela
Edmunds, W John
Piot, Peter
Baguelin, Marc
Muyembe Tamfum, Jean-Jacques
author_sort Rosello, Alicia
collection PubMed
description The Democratic Republic of the Congo has experienced the most outbreaks of Ebola virus disease since the virus' discovery in 1976. This article provides for the first time a description and a line list for all outbreaks in this country, comprising 996 cases. Compared to patients over 15 years old, the odds of dying were significantly lower in patients aged 5 to 15 and higher in children under five (with 100% mortality in those under 2 years old). The odds of dying increased by 11% per day that a patient was not hospitalised. Outbreaks with an initially high reproduction number, R (>3), were rapidly brought under control, whilst outbreaks with a lower initial R caused longer and generally larger outbreaks. These findings can inform the choice of target age groups for interventions and highlight the importance of both reducing the delay between symptom onset and hospitalisation and rapid national and international response. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.7554/eLife.09015.001
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spelling pubmed-46292792015-11-04 Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 1976-2014 Rosello, Alicia Mossoko, Mathias Flasche, Stefan Van Hoek, Albert Jan Mbala, Placide Camacho, Anton Funk, Sebastian Kucharski, Adam Ilunga, Benoit Kebela Edmunds, W John Piot, Peter Baguelin, Marc Muyembe Tamfum, Jean-Jacques eLife Epidemiology and Global Health The Democratic Republic of the Congo has experienced the most outbreaks of Ebola virus disease since the virus' discovery in 1976. This article provides for the first time a description and a line list for all outbreaks in this country, comprising 996 cases. Compared to patients over 15 years old, the odds of dying were significantly lower in patients aged 5 to 15 and higher in children under five (with 100% mortality in those under 2 years old). The odds of dying increased by 11% per day that a patient was not hospitalised. Outbreaks with an initially high reproduction number, R (>3), were rapidly brought under control, whilst outbreaks with a lower initial R caused longer and generally larger outbreaks. These findings can inform the choice of target age groups for interventions and highlight the importance of both reducing the delay between symptom onset and hospitalisation and rapid national and international response. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.7554/eLife.09015.001 eLife Sciences Publications, Ltd 2015-11-03 /pmc/articles/PMC4629279/ /pubmed/26525597 http://dx.doi.org/10.7554/eLife.09015 Text en © 2015, Rosello et al http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use and redistribution provided that the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Epidemiology and Global Health
Rosello, Alicia
Mossoko, Mathias
Flasche, Stefan
Van Hoek, Albert Jan
Mbala, Placide
Camacho, Anton
Funk, Sebastian
Kucharski, Adam
Ilunga, Benoit Kebela
Edmunds, W John
Piot, Peter
Baguelin, Marc
Muyembe Tamfum, Jean-Jacques
Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 1976-2014
title Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 1976-2014
title_full Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 1976-2014
title_fullStr Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 1976-2014
title_full_unstemmed Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 1976-2014
title_short Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 1976-2014
title_sort ebola virus disease in the democratic republic of the congo, 1976-2014
topic Epidemiology and Global Health
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4629279/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26525597
http://dx.doi.org/10.7554/eLife.09015
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