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Joint estimation over multiple individuals improves behavioural state inference from animal movement data

State-space models provide a powerful way to scale up inference of movement behaviours from individuals to populations when the inference is made across multiple individuals. Here, I show how a joint estimation approach that assumes individuals share identical movement parameters can lead to improve...

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Autor principal: Jonsen, Ian
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group 2016
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4745009/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26853261
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep20625
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author Jonsen, Ian
author_facet Jonsen, Ian
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description State-space models provide a powerful way to scale up inference of movement behaviours from individuals to populations when the inference is made across multiple individuals. Here, I show how a joint estimation approach that assumes individuals share identical movement parameters can lead to improved inference of behavioural states associated with different movement processes. I use simulated movement paths with known behavioural states to compare estimation error between nonhierarchical and joint estimation formulations of an otherwise identical state-space model. Behavioural state estimation error was strongly affected by the degree of similarity between movement patterns characterising the behavioural states, with less error when movements were strongly dissimilar between states. The joint estimation model improved behavioural state estimation relative to the nonhierarchical model for simulated data with heavy-tailed Argos location errors. When applied to Argos telemetry datasets from 10 Weddell seals, the nonhierarchical model estimated highly uncertain behavioural state switching probabilities for most individuals whereas the joint estimation model yielded substantially less uncertainty. The joint estimation model better resolved the behavioural state sequences across all seals. Hierarchical or joint estimation models should be the preferred choice for estimating behavioural states from animal movement data, especially when location data are error-prone.
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spelling pubmed-47450092016-02-16 Joint estimation over multiple individuals improves behavioural state inference from animal movement data Jonsen, Ian Sci Rep Article State-space models provide a powerful way to scale up inference of movement behaviours from individuals to populations when the inference is made across multiple individuals. Here, I show how a joint estimation approach that assumes individuals share identical movement parameters can lead to improved inference of behavioural states associated with different movement processes. I use simulated movement paths with known behavioural states to compare estimation error between nonhierarchical and joint estimation formulations of an otherwise identical state-space model. Behavioural state estimation error was strongly affected by the degree of similarity between movement patterns characterising the behavioural states, with less error when movements were strongly dissimilar between states. The joint estimation model improved behavioural state estimation relative to the nonhierarchical model for simulated data with heavy-tailed Argos location errors. When applied to Argos telemetry datasets from 10 Weddell seals, the nonhierarchical model estimated highly uncertain behavioural state switching probabilities for most individuals whereas the joint estimation model yielded substantially less uncertainty. The joint estimation model better resolved the behavioural state sequences across all seals. Hierarchical or joint estimation models should be the preferred choice for estimating behavioural states from animal movement data, especially when location data are error-prone. Nature Publishing Group 2016-02-08 /pmc/articles/PMC4745009/ /pubmed/26853261 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep20625 Text en Copyright © 2016, Macmillan Publishers Limited http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in the credit line; if the material is not included under the Creative Commons license, users will need to obtain permission from the license holder to reproduce the material. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
spellingShingle Article
Jonsen, Ian
Joint estimation over multiple individuals improves behavioural state inference from animal movement data
title Joint estimation over multiple individuals improves behavioural state inference from animal movement data
title_full Joint estimation over multiple individuals improves behavioural state inference from animal movement data
title_fullStr Joint estimation over multiple individuals improves behavioural state inference from animal movement data
title_full_unstemmed Joint estimation over multiple individuals improves behavioural state inference from animal movement data
title_short Joint estimation over multiple individuals improves behavioural state inference from animal movement data
title_sort joint estimation over multiple individuals improves behavioural state inference from animal movement data
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4745009/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26853261
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep20625
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