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Transition to a Moist Greenhouse with CO(2) and solar forcing
Water-rich planets such as Earth are expected to become eventually uninhabitable, because liquid water turns unstable at the surface as temperatures increase with solar luminosity. Whether a large increase of atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases such as CO(2) could also destroy the habitab...
Autores principales: | , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Nature Publishing Group
2016
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4748134/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26859279 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ncomms10627 |
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author | Popp, Max Schmidt, Hauke Marotzke, Jochem |
author_facet | Popp, Max Schmidt, Hauke Marotzke, Jochem |
author_sort | Popp, Max |
collection | PubMed |
description | Water-rich planets such as Earth are expected to become eventually uninhabitable, because liquid water turns unstable at the surface as temperatures increase with solar luminosity. Whether a large increase of atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases such as CO(2) could also destroy the habitability of water-rich planets has remained unclear. Here we show with three-dimensional aqua-planet simulations that CO(2)-induced forcing as readily destabilizes the climate as does solar forcing. The climate instability is caused by a positive cloud feedback and leads to a new steady state with global-mean sea-surface temperatures above 330 K. The upper atmosphere is considerably moister in this warm state than in the reference climate, implying that the planet would be subject to substantial loss of water to space. For some elevated CO(2) or solar forcings, we find both cold and warm equilibrium states, implying that the climate transition cannot be reversed by removing the additional forcing. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-4748134 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2016 |
publisher | Nature Publishing Group |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-47481342016-02-24 Transition to a Moist Greenhouse with CO(2) and solar forcing Popp, Max Schmidt, Hauke Marotzke, Jochem Nat Commun Article Water-rich planets such as Earth are expected to become eventually uninhabitable, because liquid water turns unstable at the surface as temperatures increase with solar luminosity. Whether a large increase of atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases such as CO(2) could also destroy the habitability of water-rich planets has remained unclear. Here we show with three-dimensional aqua-planet simulations that CO(2)-induced forcing as readily destabilizes the climate as does solar forcing. The climate instability is caused by a positive cloud feedback and leads to a new steady state with global-mean sea-surface temperatures above 330 K. The upper atmosphere is considerably moister in this warm state than in the reference climate, implying that the planet would be subject to substantial loss of water to space. For some elevated CO(2) or solar forcings, we find both cold and warm equilibrium states, implying that the climate transition cannot be reversed by removing the additional forcing. Nature Publishing Group 2016-02-09 /pmc/articles/PMC4748134/ /pubmed/26859279 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ncomms10627 Text en Copyright © 2016, Nature Publishing Group, a division of Macmillan Publishers Limited. All Rights Reserved. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in the credit line; if the material is not included under the Creative Commons license, users will need to obtain permission from the license holder to reproduce the material. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
spellingShingle | Article Popp, Max Schmidt, Hauke Marotzke, Jochem Transition to a Moist Greenhouse with CO(2) and solar forcing |
title | Transition to a Moist Greenhouse with CO(2) and solar forcing |
title_full | Transition to a Moist Greenhouse with CO(2) and solar forcing |
title_fullStr | Transition to a Moist Greenhouse with CO(2) and solar forcing |
title_full_unstemmed | Transition to a Moist Greenhouse with CO(2) and solar forcing |
title_short | Transition to a Moist Greenhouse with CO(2) and solar forcing |
title_sort | transition to a moist greenhouse with co(2) and solar forcing |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4748134/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26859279 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ncomms10627 |
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