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Exploring Market State and Stock Interactions on the Minute Timescale

A stock market is a non-stationary complex system. The stock interactions are important for understanding the state of the market. However, our knowledge on the stock interactions on the minute timescale is limited. Here we apply the random matrix theory and methods in complex networks to study the...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Tan, Lei, Chen, Jun-Jie, Zheng, Bo, Ouyang, Fang-Yan
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2016
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4762888/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26900948
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0149648
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author Tan, Lei
Chen, Jun-Jie
Zheng, Bo
Ouyang, Fang-Yan
author_facet Tan, Lei
Chen, Jun-Jie
Zheng, Bo
Ouyang, Fang-Yan
author_sort Tan, Lei
collection PubMed
description A stock market is a non-stationary complex system. The stock interactions are important for understanding the state of the market. However, our knowledge on the stock interactions on the minute timescale is limited. Here we apply the random matrix theory and methods in complex networks to study the stock interactions and sector interactions. Further, we construct a new kind of cross-correlation matrix to investigate the correlation between the stock interactions at different minutes within one trading day. Based on 50 million minute-to-minute price data in the Shanghai stock market, we discover that the market states in the morning and afternoon are significantly different. The differences mainly exist in three aspects, i.e. the co-movement of stock prices, interactions of sectors and correlation between the stock interactions at different minutes. In the afternoon, the component stocks of sectors are more robust and the structure of sectors is firmer. Therefore, the market state in the afternoon is more stable. Furthermore, we reveal that the information of the sector interactions can indicate the financial crisis in the market, and the indicator based on the empirical data in the afternoon is more effective.
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spelling pubmed-47628882016-03-07 Exploring Market State and Stock Interactions on the Minute Timescale Tan, Lei Chen, Jun-Jie Zheng, Bo Ouyang, Fang-Yan PLoS One Research Article A stock market is a non-stationary complex system. The stock interactions are important for understanding the state of the market. However, our knowledge on the stock interactions on the minute timescale is limited. Here we apply the random matrix theory and methods in complex networks to study the stock interactions and sector interactions. Further, we construct a new kind of cross-correlation matrix to investigate the correlation between the stock interactions at different minutes within one trading day. Based on 50 million minute-to-minute price data in the Shanghai stock market, we discover that the market states in the morning and afternoon are significantly different. The differences mainly exist in three aspects, i.e. the co-movement of stock prices, interactions of sectors and correlation between the stock interactions at different minutes. In the afternoon, the component stocks of sectors are more robust and the structure of sectors is firmer. Therefore, the market state in the afternoon is more stable. Furthermore, we reveal that the information of the sector interactions can indicate the financial crisis in the market, and the indicator based on the empirical data in the afternoon is more effective. Public Library of Science 2016-02-22 /pmc/articles/PMC4762888/ /pubmed/26900948 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0149648 Text en © 2016 Tan et al http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Tan, Lei
Chen, Jun-Jie
Zheng, Bo
Ouyang, Fang-Yan
Exploring Market State and Stock Interactions on the Minute Timescale
title Exploring Market State and Stock Interactions on the Minute Timescale
title_full Exploring Market State and Stock Interactions on the Minute Timescale
title_fullStr Exploring Market State and Stock Interactions on the Minute Timescale
title_full_unstemmed Exploring Market State and Stock Interactions on the Minute Timescale
title_short Exploring Market State and Stock Interactions on the Minute Timescale
title_sort exploring market state and stock interactions on the minute timescale
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4762888/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26900948
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0149648
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