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Modeling Relapsing Disease Dynamics in a Host-Vector Community

Vector-borne diseases represent a threat to human and wildlife populations and mathematical models provide a means to understand and control epidemics involved in complex host-vector systems. The disease model studied here is a host-vector system with a relapsing class of host individuals, used to i...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Johnson, Tammi L., Landguth, Erin L., Stone, Emily F.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2016
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4765964/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26910884
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0004428
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author Johnson, Tammi L.
Landguth, Erin L.
Stone, Emily F.
author_facet Johnson, Tammi L.
Landguth, Erin L.
Stone, Emily F.
author_sort Johnson, Tammi L.
collection PubMed
description Vector-borne diseases represent a threat to human and wildlife populations and mathematical models provide a means to understand and control epidemics involved in complex host-vector systems. The disease model studied here is a host-vector system with a relapsing class of host individuals, used to investigate tick-borne relapsing fever (TBRF). Equilibrium analysis is performed for models with increasing numbers of relapses and multiple hosts and the disease reproduction number, R(0), is generalized to establish relationships with parameters that would result in the elimination of the disease. We show that host relapses in a single competent host-vector system is needed to maintain an endemic state. We show that the addition of an incompetent second host with no relapses increases the number of relapses needed for maintaining the pathogen in the first competent host system. Further, coupling of the system with hosts of differing competencies will always reduce R(0), making it more difficult for the system to reach an endemic state.
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spelling pubmed-47659642016-02-26 Modeling Relapsing Disease Dynamics in a Host-Vector Community Johnson, Tammi L. Landguth, Erin L. Stone, Emily F. PLoS Negl Trop Dis Research Article Vector-borne diseases represent a threat to human and wildlife populations and mathematical models provide a means to understand and control epidemics involved in complex host-vector systems. The disease model studied here is a host-vector system with a relapsing class of host individuals, used to investigate tick-borne relapsing fever (TBRF). Equilibrium analysis is performed for models with increasing numbers of relapses and multiple hosts and the disease reproduction number, R(0), is generalized to establish relationships with parameters that would result in the elimination of the disease. We show that host relapses in a single competent host-vector system is needed to maintain an endemic state. We show that the addition of an incompetent second host with no relapses increases the number of relapses needed for maintaining the pathogen in the first competent host system. Further, coupling of the system with hosts of differing competencies will always reduce R(0), making it more difficult for the system to reach an endemic state. Public Library of Science 2016-02-24 /pmc/articles/PMC4765964/ /pubmed/26910884 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0004428 Text en © 2016 Johnson et al http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Johnson, Tammi L.
Landguth, Erin L.
Stone, Emily F.
Modeling Relapsing Disease Dynamics in a Host-Vector Community
title Modeling Relapsing Disease Dynamics in a Host-Vector Community
title_full Modeling Relapsing Disease Dynamics in a Host-Vector Community
title_fullStr Modeling Relapsing Disease Dynamics in a Host-Vector Community
title_full_unstemmed Modeling Relapsing Disease Dynamics in a Host-Vector Community
title_short Modeling Relapsing Disease Dynamics in a Host-Vector Community
title_sort modeling relapsing disease dynamics in a host-vector community
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4765964/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26910884
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0004428
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