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Determinants and Drivers of Infectious Disease Threat Events in Europe

Infectious disease threat events (IDTEs) are increasing in frequency worldwide. We analyzed underlying drivers of 116 IDTEs detected in Europe during 2008–2013 by epidemic intelligence at the European Centre of Disease Prevention and Control. Seventeen drivers were identified and categorized into 3...

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Autores principales: Semenza, Jan C., Lindgren, Elisabet, Balkanyi, Laszlo, Espinosa, Laura, Almqvist, My S., Penttinen, Pasi, Rocklöv, Joacim
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2016
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4806948/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26982104
http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2204.151073
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author Semenza, Jan C.
Lindgren, Elisabet
Balkanyi, Laszlo
Espinosa, Laura
Almqvist, My S.
Penttinen, Pasi
Rocklöv, Joacim
author_facet Semenza, Jan C.
Lindgren, Elisabet
Balkanyi, Laszlo
Espinosa, Laura
Almqvist, My S.
Penttinen, Pasi
Rocklöv, Joacim
author_sort Semenza, Jan C.
collection PubMed
description Infectious disease threat events (IDTEs) are increasing in frequency worldwide. We analyzed underlying drivers of 116 IDTEs detected in Europe during 2008–2013 by epidemic intelligence at the European Centre of Disease Prevention and Control. Seventeen drivers were identified and categorized into 3 groups: globalization and environment, sociodemographic, and public health systems. A combination of >2 drivers was responsible for most IDTEs. The driver category globalization and environment contributed to 61% of individual IDTEs, and the top 5 individual drivers of all IDTEs were travel and tourism, food and water quality, natural environment, global trade, and climate. Hierarchical cluster analysis of all drivers identified travel and tourism as a distinctly separate driver. Monitoring and modeling such disease drivers can help anticipate future IDTEs and strengthen control measures. More important, intervening directly on these underlying drivers can diminish the likelihood of the occurrence of an IDTE and reduce the associated human and economic costs.
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spelling pubmed-48069482016-04-01 Determinants and Drivers of Infectious Disease Threat Events in Europe Semenza, Jan C. Lindgren, Elisabet Balkanyi, Laszlo Espinosa, Laura Almqvist, My S. Penttinen, Pasi Rocklöv, Joacim Emerg Infect Dis Perspective Infectious disease threat events (IDTEs) are increasing in frequency worldwide. We analyzed underlying drivers of 116 IDTEs detected in Europe during 2008–2013 by epidemic intelligence at the European Centre of Disease Prevention and Control. Seventeen drivers were identified and categorized into 3 groups: globalization and environment, sociodemographic, and public health systems. A combination of >2 drivers was responsible for most IDTEs. The driver category globalization and environment contributed to 61% of individual IDTEs, and the top 5 individual drivers of all IDTEs were travel and tourism, food and water quality, natural environment, global trade, and climate. Hierarchical cluster analysis of all drivers identified travel and tourism as a distinctly separate driver. Monitoring and modeling such disease drivers can help anticipate future IDTEs and strengthen control measures. More important, intervening directly on these underlying drivers can diminish the likelihood of the occurrence of an IDTE and reduce the associated human and economic costs. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2016-04 /pmc/articles/PMC4806948/ /pubmed/26982104 http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2204.151073 Text en https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is a publication of the U.S. Government. This publication is in the public domain and is therefore without copyright. All text from this work may be reprinted freely. Use of these materials should be properly cited.
spellingShingle Perspective
Semenza, Jan C.
Lindgren, Elisabet
Balkanyi, Laszlo
Espinosa, Laura
Almqvist, My S.
Penttinen, Pasi
Rocklöv, Joacim
Determinants and Drivers of Infectious Disease Threat Events in Europe
title Determinants and Drivers of Infectious Disease Threat Events in Europe
title_full Determinants and Drivers of Infectious Disease Threat Events in Europe
title_fullStr Determinants and Drivers of Infectious Disease Threat Events in Europe
title_full_unstemmed Determinants and Drivers of Infectious Disease Threat Events in Europe
title_short Determinants and Drivers of Infectious Disease Threat Events in Europe
title_sort determinants and drivers of infectious disease threat events in europe
topic Perspective
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4806948/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26982104
http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2204.151073
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