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Use of the SAMe-TT(2)R(2) Score to Predict Good Anticoagulation Control with Warfarin in Chinese Patients with Atrial Fibrillation: Relationship to Ischemic Stroke Incidence

BACKGROUND: The efficacy and safety of warfarin therapy for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation (AF) depends on the time in therapeutic range (TTR). We aimed to assess the predictive ability of SAMe-TT(2)R(2) score in Chinese AF patients on warfarin, whose TTR is notoriously poor. METHODS AND R...

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Autores principales: Chan, Pak Hei, Hai, Jo Jo, Chan, Esther W., Li, Wen Hua, Tse, Hung Fat, Wong, Ian C. K., Lip, Gregory Y. H., Siu, Chung Wah
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2016
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4807017/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27010633
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0150674
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author Chan, Pak Hei
Hai, Jo Jo
Chan, Esther W.
Li, Wen Hua
Tse, Hung Fat
Wong, Ian C. K.
Lip, Gregory Y. H.
Siu, Chung Wah
author_facet Chan, Pak Hei
Hai, Jo Jo
Chan, Esther W.
Li, Wen Hua
Tse, Hung Fat
Wong, Ian C. K.
Lip, Gregory Y. H.
Siu, Chung Wah
author_sort Chan, Pak Hei
collection PubMed
description BACKGROUND: The efficacy and safety of warfarin therapy for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation (AF) depends on the time in therapeutic range (TTR). We aimed to assess the predictive ability of SAMe-TT(2)R(2) score in Chinese AF patients on warfarin, whose TTR is notoriously poor. METHODS AND RESULTS: This is a single-centre retrospective study. Patients with non-valvular AF on warfarin diagnosed between 1997 and 2011 were stratified according to SAMe-TT(2)R(2) score, and TTR was calculated using Rosendaal method. The predictive power of SAMe-TT(2)R(2) scores for good TTR i.e. >70% was assessed. We included 1,428 Chinese patients (mean age 76.2±8.7 years, 47.5% male) with non-valvular AF on warfarin. The mean and median TTR were 38.2±24.4% and 38.8% (interquartile range: 17.9% and 56.2%) respectively. TTR decreased progressively with increasing SAMe-TT(2)R(2) score (p = 0.016). When the cut-off value of SAMe-TT(2)R(2) score was set to 2, the sensitivity and specificity to predict TTR<70% were 85.7% and 17.8%, respectively. The corresponding positive and negative predictive values were 10.1% and 92.0%. After a mean follow-up of 4.7±3.6 years, 338 patients developed an ischemic stroke (4.96%/year). Patients with TTR≥70% had a lower annual risk of ischemic stroke of 3.67%/year compared with than those with TTR<70% (5.13%/year)(p = 0.08). Patients with SAMe-TT(2)R(2) score ≤2 had the lowest risk of annual risk of ischemic stroke (3.49%/year) compared with those with SAMe-TT(2)R(2) score = 3 (4.56%/year), and those with SAMe-TT(2)R(2) score ≥4 (6.41%/year)(p<0.001). There was also a non-significant trend towards more intracranial hemorrhage with increasing SAMe-TT(2)R(2) score. CONCLUSIONS: The SAMe-TT(2)R(2) score correlates well with TTR in Chinese AF patients, with a score >2 having high sensitivity and negative predictive values for poor TTR. Ischemic stroke risk increased progressively with increasing SAMe-TT(2)R(2) score, consistent with poorer TTRs at high SAMe-TT(2)R(2) scores.
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spelling pubmed-48070172016-03-25 Use of the SAMe-TT(2)R(2) Score to Predict Good Anticoagulation Control with Warfarin in Chinese Patients with Atrial Fibrillation: Relationship to Ischemic Stroke Incidence Chan, Pak Hei Hai, Jo Jo Chan, Esther W. Li, Wen Hua Tse, Hung Fat Wong, Ian C. K. Lip, Gregory Y. H. Siu, Chung Wah PLoS One Research Article BACKGROUND: The efficacy and safety of warfarin therapy for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation (AF) depends on the time in therapeutic range (TTR). We aimed to assess the predictive ability of SAMe-TT(2)R(2) score in Chinese AF patients on warfarin, whose TTR is notoriously poor. METHODS AND RESULTS: This is a single-centre retrospective study. Patients with non-valvular AF on warfarin diagnosed between 1997 and 2011 were stratified according to SAMe-TT(2)R(2) score, and TTR was calculated using Rosendaal method. The predictive power of SAMe-TT(2)R(2) scores for good TTR i.e. >70% was assessed. We included 1,428 Chinese patients (mean age 76.2±8.7 years, 47.5% male) with non-valvular AF on warfarin. The mean and median TTR were 38.2±24.4% and 38.8% (interquartile range: 17.9% and 56.2%) respectively. TTR decreased progressively with increasing SAMe-TT(2)R(2) score (p = 0.016). When the cut-off value of SAMe-TT(2)R(2) score was set to 2, the sensitivity and specificity to predict TTR<70% were 85.7% and 17.8%, respectively. The corresponding positive and negative predictive values were 10.1% and 92.0%. After a mean follow-up of 4.7±3.6 years, 338 patients developed an ischemic stroke (4.96%/year). Patients with TTR≥70% had a lower annual risk of ischemic stroke of 3.67%/year compared with than those with TTR<70% (5.13%/year)(p = 0.08). Patients with SAMe-TT(2)R(2) score ≤2 had the lowest risk of annual risk of ischemic stroke (3.49%/year) compared with those with SAMe-TT(2)R(2) score = 3 (4.56%/year), and those with SAMe-TT(2)R(2) score ≥4 (6.41%/year)(p<0.001). There was also a non-significant trend towards more intracranial hemorrhage with increasing SAMe-TT(2)R(2) score. CONCLUSIONS: The SAMe-TT(2)R(2) score correlates well with TTR in Chinese AF patients, with a score >2 having high sensitivity and negative predictive values for poor TTR. Ischemic stroke risk increased progressively with increasing SAMe-TT(2)R(2) score, consistent with poorer TTRs at high SAMe-TT(2)R(2) scores. Public Library of Science 2016-03-24 /pmc/articles/PMC4807017/ /pubmed/27010633 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0150674 Text en © 2016 Chan et al http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Chan, Pak Hei
Hai, Jo Jo
Chan, Esther W.
Li, Wen Hua
Tse, Hung Fat
Wong, Ian C. K.
Lip, Gregory Y. H.
Siu, Chung Wah
Use of the SAMe-TT(2)R(2) Score to Predict Good Anticoagulation Control with Warfarin in Chinese Patients with Atrial Fibrillation: Relationship to Ischemic Stroke Incidence
title Use of the SAMe-TT(2)R(2) Score to Predict Good Anticoagulation Control with Warfarin in Chinese Patients with Atrial Fibrillation: Relationship to Ischemic Stroke Incidence
title_full Use of the SAMe-TT(2)R(2) Score to Predict Good Anticoagulation Control with Warfarin in Chinese Patients with Atrial Fibrillation: Relationship to Ischemic Stroke Incidence
title_fullStr Use of the SAMe-TT(2)R(2) Score to Predict Good Anticoagulation Control with Warfarin in Chinese Patients with Atrial Fibrillation: Relationship to Ischemic Stroke Incidence
title_full_unstemmed Use of the SAMe-TT(2)R(2) Score to Predict Good Anticoagulation Control with Warfarin in Chinese Patients with Atrial Fibrillation: Relationship to Ischemic Stroke Incidence
title_short Use of the SAMe-TT(2)R(2) Score to Predict Good Anticoagulation Control with Warfarin in Chinese Patients with Atrial Fibrillation: Relationship to Ischemic Stroke Incidence
title_sort use of the same-tt(2)r(2) score to predict good anticoagulation control with warfarin in chinese patients with atrial fibrillation: relationship to ischemic stroke incidence
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4807017/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27010633
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0150674
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