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Hidden multiplicity in exploratory multiway ANOVA: Prevalence and remedies

Many psychologists do not realize that exploratory use of the popular multiway analysis of variance harbors a multiple-comparison problem. In the case of two factors, three separate null hypotheses are subject to test (i.e., two main effects and one interaction). Consequently, the probability of at...

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Autores principales: Cramer, Angélique O. J., van Ravenzwaaij, Don, Matzke, Dora, Steingroever, Helen, Wetzels, Ruud, Grasman, Raoul P. P. P., Waldorp, Lourens J., Wagenmakers, Eric-Jan
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer US 2015
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4828473/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26374437
http://dx.doi.org/10.3758/s13423-015-0913-5
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author Cramer, Angélique O. J.
van Ravenzwaaij, Don
Matzke, Dora
Steingroever, Helen
Wetzels, Ruud
Grasman, Raoul P. P. P.
Waldorp, Lourens J.
Wagenmakers, Eric-Jan
author_facet Cramer, Angélique O. J.
van Ravenzwaaij, Don
Matzke, Dora
Steingroever, Helen
Wetzels, Ruud
Grasman, Raoul P. P. P.
Waldorp, Lourens J.
Wagenmakers, Eric-Jan
author_sort Cramer, Angélique O. J.
collection PubMed
description Many psychologists do not realize that exploratory use of the popular multiway analysis of variance harbors a multiple-comparison problem. In the case of two factors, three separate null hypotheses are subject to test (i.e., two main effects and one interaction). Consequently, the probability of at least one Type I error (if all null hypotheses are true) is 14 % rather than 5 %, if the three tests are independent. We explain the multiple-comparison problem and demonstrate that researchers almost never correct for it. To mitigate the problem, we describe four remedies: the omnibus F test, control of the familywise error rate, control of the false discovery rate, and preregistration of the hypotheses.
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spelling pubmed-48284732016-04-21 Hidden multiplicity in exploratory multiway ANOVA: Prevalence and remedies Cramer, Angélique O. J. van Ravenzwaaij, Don Matzke, Dora Steingroever, Helen Wetzels, Ruud Grasman, Raoul P. P. P. Waldorp, Lourens J. Wagenmakers, Eric-Jan Psychon Bull Rev Article Many psychologists do not realize that exploratory use of the popular multiway analysis of variance harbors a multiple-comparison problem. In the case of two factors, three separate null hypotheses are subject to test (i.e., two main effects and one interaction). Consequently, the probability of at least one Type I error (if all null hypotheses are true) is 14 % rather than 5 %, if the three tests are independent. We explain the multiple-comparison problem and demonstrate that researchers almost never correct for it. To mitigate the problem, we describe four remedies: the omnibus F test, control of the familywise error rate, control of the false discovery rate, and preregistration of the hypotheses. Springer US 2015-09-15 2016 /pmc/articles/PMC4828473/ /pubmed/26374437 http://dx.doi.org/10.3758/s13423-015-0913-5 Text en © The Author(s) 2015 Open Access This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.
spellingShingle Article
Cramer, Angélique O. J.
van Ravenzwaaij, Don
Matzke, Dora
Steingroever, Helen
Wetzels, Ruud
Grasman, Raoul P. P. P.
Waldorp, Lourens J.
Wagenmakers, Eric-Jan
Hidden multiplicity in exploratory multiway ANOVA: Prevalence and remedies
title Hidden multiplicity in exploratory multiway ANOVA: Prevalence and remedies
title_full Hidden multiplicity in exploratory multiway ANOVA: Prevalence and remedies
title_fullStr Hidden multiplicity in exploratory multiway ANOVA: Prevalence and remedies
title_full_unstemmed Hidden multiplicity in exploratory multiway ANOVA: Prevalence and remedies
title_short Hidden multiplicity in exploratory multiway ANOVA: Prevalence and remedies
title_sort hidden multiplicity in exploratory multiway anova: prevalence and remedies
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4828473/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26374437
http://dx.doi.org/10.3758/s13423-015-0913-5
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