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Robust Statistical Detection of Power-Law Cross-Correlation

We show that widely used approaches in statistical physics incorrectly indicate the existence of power-law cross-correlations between financial stock market fluctuations measured over several years and the neuronal activity of the human brain lasting for only a few minutes. While such cross-correlat...

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Autores principales: Blythe, Duncan A. J., Nikulin, Vadim V., Müller, Klaus-Robert
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group 2016
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4890042/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27250630
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep27089
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author Blythe, Duncan A. J.
Nikulin, Vadim V.
Müller, Klaus-Robert
author_facet Blythe, Duncan A. J.
Nikulin, Vadim V.
Müller, Klaus-Robert
author_sort Blythe, Duncan A. J.
collection PubMed
description We show that widely used approaches in statistical physics incorrectly indicate the existence of power-law cross-correlations between financial stock market fluctuations measured over several years and the neuronal activity of the human brain lasting for only a few minutes. While such cross-correlations are nonsensical, no current methodology allows them to be reliably discarded, leaving researchers at greater risk when the spurious nature of cross-correlations is not clear from the unrelated origin of the time series and rather requires careful statistical estimation. Here we propose a theory and method (PLCC-test) which allows us to rigorously and robustly test for power-law cross-correlations, correctly detecting genuine and discarding spurious cross-correlations, thus establishing meaningful relationships between processes in complex physical systems. Our method reveals for the first time the presence of power-law cross-correlations between amplitudes of the alpha and beta frequency ranges of the human electroencephalogram.
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spelling pubmed-48900422016-06-09 Robust Statistical Detection of Power-Law Cross-Correlation Blythe, Duncan A. J. Nikulin, Vadim V. Müller, Klaus-Robert Sci Rep Article We show that widely used approaches in statistical physics incorrectly indicate the existence of power-law cross-correlations between financial stock market fluctuations measured over several years and the neuronal activity of the human brain lasting for only a few minutes. While such cross-correlations are nonsensical, no current methodology allows them to be reliably discarded, leaving researchers at greater risk when the spurious nature of cross-correlations is not clear from the unrelated origin of the time series and rather requires careful statistical estimation. Here we propose a theory and method (PLCC-test) which allows us to rigorously and robustly test for power-law cross-correlations, correctly detecting genuine and discarding spurious cross-correlations, thus establishing meaningful relationships between processes in complex physical systems. Our method reveals for the first time the presence of power-law cross-correlations between amplitudes of the alpha and beta frequency ranges of the human electroencephalogram. Nature Publishing Group 2016-06-02 /pmc/articles/PMC4890042/ /pubmed/27250630 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep27089 Text en Copyright © 2016, Macmillan Publishers Limited http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in the credit line; if the material is not included under the Creative Commons license, users will need to obtain permission from the license holder to reproduce the material. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
spellingShingle Article
Blythe, Duncan A. J.
Nikulin, Vadim V.
Müller, Klaus-Robert
Robust Statistical Detection of Power-Law Cross-Correlation
title Robust Statistical Detection of Power-Law Cross-Correlation
title_full Robust Statistical Detection of Power-Law Cross-Correlation
title_fullStr Robust Statistical Detection of Power-Law Cross-Correlation
title_full_unstemmed Robust Statistical Detection of Power-Law Cross-Correlation
title_short Robust Statistical Detection of Power-Law Cross-Correlation
title_sort robust statistical detection of power-law cross-correlation
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4890042/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27250630
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep27089
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