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The Impact of Farmers’ Strategic Behavior on the Spread of Animal Infectious Diseases
One of the main strategies to control the spread of infectious animal diseases is the implementation of movement restrictions. This paper shows a loss in efficiency of the movement restriction policy (MRP) when behavioral responses of farmers are taken into account. Incorporating the strategic behav...
Autores principales: | , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Public Library of Science
2016
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4907430/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27300368 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0157450 |
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author | Tago, Damian Hammitt, James K. Thomas, Alban Raboisson, Didier |
author_facet | Tago, Damian Hammitt, James K. Thomas, Alban Raboisson, Didier |
author_sort | Tago, Damian |
collection | PubMed |
description | One of the main strategies to control the spread of infectious animal diseases is the implementation of movement restrictions. This paper shows a loss in efficiency of the movement restriction policy (MRP) when behavioral responses of farmers are taken into account. Incorporating the strategic behavior of farmers in an epidemiologic model reveals that the MRP can trigger premature animal sales by farms at high risk of becoming infected that significantly reduce the efficacy of the policy. The results are validated in a parameterized network via Monte Carlo simulations and measures to mitigate the loss of efficiency of the MRP are discussed. Financial aid to farmers can be justified by public health concerns, not only for equity. This paper contributes to developing an interdisciplinary analytical framework regarding the expansion of infectious diseases combining economic and epidemiologic dimensions. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-4907430 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2016 |
publisher | Public Library of Science |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-49074302016-07-18 The Impact of Farmers’ Strategic Behavior on the Spread of Animal Infectious Diseases Tago, Damian Hammitt, James K. Thomas, Alban Raboisson, Didier PLoS One Research Article One of the main strategies to control the spread of infectious animal diseases is the implementation of movement restrictions. This paper shows a loss in efficiency of the movement restriction policy (MRP) when behavioral responses of farmers are taken into account. Incorporating the strategic behavior of farmers in an epidemiologic model reveals that the MRP can trigger premature animal sales by farms at high risk of becoming infected that significantly reduce the efficacy of the policy. The results are validated in a parameterized network via Monte Carlo simulations and measures to mitigate the loss of efficiency of the MRP are discussed. Financial aid to farmers can be justified by public health concerns, not only for equity. This paper contributes to developing an interdisciplinary analytical framework regarding the expansion of infectious diseases combining economic and epidemiologic dimensions. Public Library of Science 2016-06-14 /pmc/articles/PMC4907430/ /pubmed/27300368 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0157450 Text en © 2016 Tago et al http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. |
spellingShingle | Research Article Tago, Damian Hammitt, James K. Thomas, Alban Raboisson, Didier The Impact of Farmers’ Strategic Behavior on the Spread of Animal Infectious Diseases |
title | The Impact of Farmers’ Strategic Behavior on the Spread of Animal Infectious Diseases |
title_full | The Impact of Farmers’ Strategic Behavior on the Spread of Animal Infectious Diseases |
title_fullStr | The Impact of Farmers’ Strategic Behavior on the Spread of Animal Infectious Diseases |
title_full_unstemmed | The Impact of Farmers’ Strategic Behavior on the Spread of Animal Infectious Diseases |
title_short | The Impact of Farmers’ Strategic Behavior on the Spread of Animal Infectious Diseases |
title_sort | impact of farmers’ strategic behavior on the spread of animal infectious diseases |
topic | Research Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4907430/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27300368 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0157450 |
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