Decreased CX3CR1 messenger RNA expression is an independent molecular biomarker of early and late mortality in critically ill patients

BACKGROUND: Chemokine (C-X3-C motif) receptor 1 (CX3CR1) was identified as the most differentially expressed gene between survivors and non-survivors in two independent cohorts of septic shock patients and was proposed as a marker of sepsis-induced immunosuppression. Whether such a biomarker is associated with mortality in the heterogeneous group of critically ill patients is unknown. The primary objective of this study was to evaluate the association between CX3CR1 messenger RNA (mRNA) expression and mortality in intensive care unit (ICU) patients. The secondary objective was to evaluate similar endpoints in the subgroup of septic shock patients. METHODS: We performed a prospective, multicentre, non-interventional study in six ICUs of university hospitals in Lyon, France. Every consecutive adult patient with systemic inflammatory response syndrome and an expected length of stay in the ICU over 2 days was included. Whole-blood CX3CR1 mRNA expression was measured by quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction at day 1 (D1) and D3 after inclusion. RESULTS: In ICU patients (n = 725), decreased CX3CR1 mRNA expression at D1 was associated with high D7 mortality (AUC 0.70, adjusted OR [aOR] 2.03, 95 % CI 1.19–3.46), while decreased expression at D3 was associated with increased D28 mortality (AUC 0.64, aOR 2.34, 95 % CI 1.45–3.77). In septic shock patients (n = 279), similar associations were observed between decreased D1 CX3CR1 mRNA expression and D7 mortality (AUC 0.69, aOR 2.76, 95 % CI 1.32–5.75) as well as decreased D3 expression and D28 mortality (AUC 0.72, aOR 3.98, 95 % CI 1.72–9.23). These associations were independent of lactacidaemia, Simplified Acute Physiology Score II, Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment score and Charlson comorbidity index. CONCLUSIONS: This study represents the largest evaluation of such an mRNA marker in a heterogeneous cohort of severely injured patients. Our results show that decreased CX3CR1 mRNA expression is associated with increased mortality in ICU patients. This suggests a link between injury-induced immunosuppression and mortality in critically ill patients. In this context, the monitoring of such a host response molecular biomarker could prove very helpful for the identification of patients at high risk of death in the ICU. ELECTRONIC SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL: The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s13054-016-1362-x) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.