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A review on regional convection‐permitting climate modeling: Demonstrations, prospects, and challenges

Regional climate modeling using convection‐permitting models (CPMs; horizontal grid spacing <4 km) emerges as a promising framework to provide more reliable climate information on regional to local scales compared to traditionally used large‐scale models (LSMs; horizontal grid spacing >10 km)....

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Autores principales: Prein, Andreas F., Langhans, Wolfgang, Fosser, Giorgia, Ferrone, Andrew, Ban, Nikolina, Goergen, Klaus, Keller, Michael, Tölle, Merja, Gutjahr, Oliver, Feser, Frauke, Brisson, Erwan, Kollet, Stefan, Schmidli, Juerg, van Lipzig, Nicole P. M., Leung, Ruby
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2015
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4949718/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27478878
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014RG000475
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author Prein, Andreas F.
Langhans, Wolfgang
Fosser, Giorgia
Ferrone, Andrew
Ban, Nikolina
Goergen, Klaus
Keller, Michael
Tölle, Merja
Gutjahr, Oliver
Feser, Frauke
Brisson, Erwan
Kollet, Stefan
Schmidli, Juerg
van Lipzig, Nicole P. M.
Leung, Ruby
author_facet Prein, Andreas F.
Langhans, Wolfgang
Fosser, Giorgia
Ferrone, Andrew
Ban, Nikolina
Goergen, Klaus
Keller, Michael
Tölle, Merja
Gutjahr, Oliver
Feser, Frauke
Brisson, Erwan
Kollet, Stefan
Schmidli, Juerg
van Lipzig, Nicole P. M.
Leung, Ruby
author_sort Prein, Andreas F.
collection PubMed
description Regional climate modeling using convection‐permitting models (CPMs; horizontal grid spacing <4 km) emerges as a promising framework to provide more reliable climate information on regional to local scales compared to traditionally used large‐scale models (LSMs; horizontal grid spacing >10 km). CPMs no longer rely on convection parameterization schemes, which had been identified as a major source of errors and uncertainties in LSMs. Moreover, CPMs allow for a more accurate representation of surface and orography fields. The drawback of CPMs is the high demand on computational resources. For this reason, first CPM climate simulations only appeared a decade ago. In this study, we aim to provide a common basis for CPM climate simulations by giving a holistic review of the topic. The most important components in CPMs such as physical parameterizations and dynamical formulations are discussed critically. An overview of weaknesses and an outlook on required future developments is provided. Most importantly, this review presents the consolidated outcome of studies that addressed the added value of CPM climate simulations compared to LSMs. Improvements are evident mostly for climate statistics related to deep convection, mountainous regions, or extreme events. The climate change signals of CPM simulations suggest an increase in flash floods, changes in hail storm characteristics, and reductions in the snowpack over mountains. In conclusion, CPMs are a very promising tool for future climate research. However, coordinated modeling programs are crucially needed to advance parameterizations of unresolved physics and to assess the full potential of CPMs.
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spelling pubmed-49497182016-07-28 A review on regional convection‐permitting climate modeling: Demonstrations, prospects, and challenges Prein, Andreas F. Langhans, Wolfgang Fosser, Giorgia Ferrone, Andrew Ban, Nikolina Goergen, Klaus Keller, Michael Tölle, Merja Gutjahr, Oliver Feser, Frauke Brisson, Erwan Kollet, Stefan Schmidli, Juerg van Lipzig, Nicole P. M. Leung, Ruby Rev Geophys Review Articles Regional climate modeling using convection‐permitting models (CPMs; horizontal grid spacing <4 km) emerges as a promising framework to provide more reliable climate information on regional to local scales compared to traditionally used large‐scale models (LSMs; horizontal grid spacing >10 km). CPMs no longer rely on convection parameterization schemes, which had been identified as a major source of errors and uncertainties in LSMs. Moreover, CPMs allow for a more accurate representation of surface and orography fields. The drawback of CPMs is the high demand on computational resources. For this reason, first CPM climate simulations only appeared a decade ago. In this study, we aim to provide a common basis for CPM climate simulations by giving a holistic review of the topic. The most important components in CPMs such as physical parameterizations and dynamical formulations are discussed critically. An overview of weaknesses and an outlook on required future developments is provided. Most importantly, this review presents the consolidated outcome of studies that addressed the added value of CPM climate simulations compared to LSMs. Improvements are evident mostly for climate statistics related to deep convection, mountainous regions, or extreme events. The climate change signals of CPM simulations suggest an increase in flash floods, changes in hail storm characteristics, and reductions in the snowpack over mountains. In conclusion, CPMs are a very promising tool for future climate research. However, coordinated modeling programs are crucially needed to advance parameterizations of unresolved physics and to assess the full potential of CPMs. John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2015-06 2015-05-27 /pmc/articles/PMC4949718/ /pubmed/27478878 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014RG000475 Text en ©2015. The Authors. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Review Articles
Prein, Andreas F.
Langhans, Wolfgang
Fosser, Giorgia
Ferrone, Andrew
Ban, Nikolina
Goergen, Klaus
Keller, Michael
Tölle, Merja
Gutjahr, Oliver
Feser, Frauke
Brisson, Erwan
Kollet, Stefan
Schmidli, Juerg
van Lipzig, Nicole P. M.
Leung, Ruby
A review on regional convection‐permitting climate modeling: Demonstrations, prospects, and challenges
title A review on regional convection‐permitting climate modeling: Demonstrations, prospects, and challenges
title_full A review on regional convection‐permitting climate modeling: Demonstrations, prospects, and challenges
title_fullStr A review on regional convection‐permitting climate modeling: Demonstrations, prospects, and challenges
title_full_unstemmed A review on regional convection‐permitting climate modeling: Demonstrations, prospects, and challenges
title_short A review on regional convection‐permitting climate modeling: Demonstrations, prospects, and challenges
title_sort review on regional convection‐permitting climate modeling: demonstrations, prospects, and challenges
topic Review Articles
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4949718/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27478878
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014RG000475
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