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Stability Analysis of SIR Model with Distributed Delay on Complex Networks

In this paper, by taking full consideration of distributed delay, demographics and contact heterogeneity of the individuals, we present a detailed analytical study of the Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) epidemic model on complex population networks. The basic reproduction number [Image: see text]...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Huang, Chuangxia, Cao, Jie, Wen, Fenghua, Yang, Xiaoguang
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2016
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4973911/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27490363
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0158813
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author Huang, Chuangxia
Cao, Jie
Wen, Fenghua
Yang, Xiaoguang
author_facet Huang, Chuangxia
Cao, Jie
Wen, Fenghua
Yang, Xiaoguang
author_sort Huang, Chuangxia
collection PubMed
description In this paper, by taking full consideration of distributed delay, demographics and contact heterogeneity of the individuals, we present a detailed analytical study of the Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) epidemic model on complex population networks. The basic reproduction number [Image: see text] of the model is dominated by the topology of the underlying network, the properties of individuals which include birth rate, death rate, removed rate and infected rate, and continuously distributed time delay. By constructing suitable Lyapunov functional and employing Kirchhoff’s matrix tree theorem, we investigate the globally asymptotical stability of the disease-free and endemic equilibrium points. Specifically, the system shows threshold behaviors: if [Image: see text] , then the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable, otherwise the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. Furthermore, the obtained results show that SIR models with different types of delays have different converge time in the process of contagion: if [Image: see text] , then the system with distributed time delay stabilizes fastest; while [Image: see text] , the system with distributed time delay converges most slowly. The validness and effectiveness of these results are demonstrated through numerical simulations.
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spelling pubmed-49739112016-08-18 Stability Analysis of SIR Model with Distributed Delay on Complex Networks Huang, Chuangxia Cao, Jie Wen, Fenghua Yang, Xiaoguang PLoS One Research Article In this paper, by taking full consideration of distributed delay, demographics and contact heterogeneity of the individuals, we present a detailed analytical study of the Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) epidemic model on complex population networks. The basic reproduction number [Image: see text] of the model is dominated by the topology of the underlying network, the properties of individuals which include birth rate, death rate, removed rate and infected rate, and continuously distributed time delay. By constructing suitable Lyapunov functional and employing Kirchhoff’s matrix tree theorem, we investigate the globally asymptotical stability of the disease-free and endemic equilibrium points. Specifically, the system shows threshold behaviors: if [Image: see text] , then the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable, otherwise the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. Furthermore, the obtained results show that SIR models with different types of delays have different converge time in the process of contagion: if [Image: see text] , then the system with distributed time delay stabilizes fastest; while [Image: see text] , the system with distributed time delay converges most slowly. The validness and effectiveness of these results are demonstrated through numerical simulations. Public Library of Science 2016-08-04 /pmc/articles/PMC4973911/ /pubmed/27490363 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0158813 Text en © 2016 Huang et al http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Huang, Chuangxia
Cao, Jie
Wen, Fenghua
Yang, Xiaoguang
Stability Analysis of SIR Model with Distributed Delay on Complex Networks
title Stability Analysis of SIR Model with Distributed Delay on Complex Networks
title_full Stability Analysis of SIR Model with Distributed Delay on Complex Networks
title_fullStr Stability Analysis of SIR Model with Distributed Delay on Complex Networks
title_full_unstemmed Stability Analysis of SIR Model with Distributed Delay on Complex Networks
title_short Stability Analysis of SIR Model with Distributed Delay on Complex Networks
title_sort stability analysis of sir model with distributed delay on complex networks
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4973911/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27490363
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0158813
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