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Portmanteau test statistics for seasonal serial correlation in time series models

The seasonal autoregressive moving average SARMA models have been widely adopted for modeling many time series encountered in economic, hydrology, meteorological, and environmental studies which exhibited strong seasonal behavior with a period s. If the model is adequate, the autocorrelations in the...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Mahdi, Esam
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer International Publishing 2016
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5011475/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27652059
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40064-016-3167-4
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author Mahdi, Esam
author_facet Mahdi, Esam
author_sort Mahdi, Esam
collection PubMed
description The seasonal autoregressive moving average SARMA models have been widely adopted for modeling many time series encountered in economic, hydrology, meteorological, and environmental studies which exhibited strong seasonal behavior with a period s. If the model is adequate, the autocorrelations in the errors at the seasonal and the nonseasonal lags will be zero. Despite the popularity uses of the portmanteau tests for the SARMA models, the diagnostic checking at the seasonal lags [Formula: see text] , where m is the largest lag considered for autocorrelation and s is the seasonal period, has not yet received as much attention as it deserves. In this paper, we devise seasonal portmanteau test statistics to test whether the seasonal autocorrelations at multiple lags s of time series are different from zero. Simulation studies are performed to assess the performance of the asymptotic distribution results of the proposed statistics in finite samples. Results suggest to use the proposed tests as complementary to those classical tests found in literature. An illustrative application is given to demonstrate the usefulness of this test.
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spelling pubmed-50114752016-09-20 Portmanteau test statistics for seasonal serial correlation in time series models Mahdi, Esam Springerplus Research The seasonal autoregressive moving average SARMA models have been widely adopted for modeling many time series encountered in economic, hydrology, meteorological, and environmental studies which exhibited strong seasonal behavior with a period s. If the model is adequate, the autocorrelations in the errors at the seasonal and the nonseasonal lags will be zero. Despite the popularity uses of the portmanteau tests for the SARMA models, the diagnostic checking at the seasonal lags [Formula: see text] , where m is the largest lag considered for autocorrelation and s is the seasonal period, has not yet received as much attention as it deserves. In this paper, we devise seasonal portmanteau test statistics to test whether the seasonal autocorrelations at multiple lags s of time series are different from zero. Simulation studies are performed to assess the performance of the asymptotic distribution results of the proposed statistics in finite samples. Results suggest to use the proposed tests as complementary to those classical tests found in literature. An illustrative application is given to demonstrate the usefulness of this test. Springer International Publishing 2016-09-05 /pmc/articles/PMC5011475/ /pubmed/27652059 http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40064-016-3167-4 Text en © The Author(s) 2016 Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.
spellingShingle Research
Mahdi, Esam
Portmanteau test statistics for seasonal serial correlation in time series models
title Portmanteau test statistics for seasonal serial correlation in time series models
title_full Portmanteau test statistics for seasonal serial correlation in time series models
title_fullStr Portmanteau test statistics for seasonal serial correlation in time series models
title_full_unstemmed Portmanteau test statistics for seasonal serial correlation in time series models
title_short Portmanteau test statistics for seasonal serial correlation in time series models
title_sort portmanteau test statistics for seasonal serial correlation in time series models
topic Research
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5011475/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27652059
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40064-016-3167-4
work_keys_str_mv AT mahdiesam portmanteauteststatisticsforseasonalserialcorrelationintimeseriesmodels