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A stochastic model of randomly accelerated walkers for human mobility
Recent studies of human mobility largely focus on displacements patterns and power law fits of empirical long-tailed distributions of distances are usually associated to scale-free superdiffusive random walks called Lévy flights. However, drawing conclusions about a complex system from a fit, withou...
Autores principales: | , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Nature Publishing Group
2016
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5013551/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27573984 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ncomms12600 |
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author | Gallotti, Riccardo Bazzani, Armando Rambaldi, Sandro Barthelemy, Marc |
author_facet | Gallotti, Riccardo Bazzani, Armando Rambaldi, Sandro Barthelemy, Marc |
author_sort | Gallotti, Riccardo |
collection | PubMed |
description | Recent studies of human mobility largely focus on displacements patterns and power law fits of empirical long-tailed distributions of distances are usually associated to scale-free superdiffusive random walks called Lévy flights. However, drawing conclusions about a complex system from a fit, without any further knowledge of the underlying dynamics, might lead to erroneous interpretations. Here we show, on the basis of a data set describing the trajectories of 780,000 private vehicles in Italy, that the Lévy flight model cannot explain the behaviour of travel times and speeds. We therefore introduce a class of accelerated random walks, validated by empirical observations, where the velocity changes due to acceleration kicks at random times. Combining this mechanism with an exponentially decaying distribution of travel times leads to a short-tailed distribution of distances which could indeed be mistaken with a truncated power law. These results illustrate the limits of purely descriptive models and provide a mechanistic view of mobility. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-5013551 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2016 |
publisher | Nature Publishing Group |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-50135512016-09-20 A stochastic model of randomly accelerated walkers for human mobility Gallotti, Riccardo Bazzani, Armando Rambaldi, Sandro Barthelemy, Marc Nat Commun Article Recent studies of human mobility largely focus on displacements patterns and power law fits of empirical long-tailed distributions of distances are usually associated to scale-free superdiffusive random walks called Lévy flights. However, drawing conclusions about a complex system from a fit, without any further knowledge of the underlying dynamics, might lead to erroneous interpretations. Here we show, on the basis of a data set describing the trajectories of 780,000 private vehicles in Italy, that the Lévy flight model cannot explain the behaviour of travel times and speeds. We therefore introduce a class of accelerated random walks, validated by empirical observations, where the velocity changes due to acceleration kicks at random times. Combining this mechanism with an exponentially decaying distribution of travel times leads to a short-tailed distribution of distances which could indeed be mistaken with a truncated power law. These results illustrate the limits of purely descriptive models and provide a mechanistic view of mobility. Nature Publishing Group 2016-08-30 /pmc/articles/PMC5013551/ /pubmed/27573984 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ncomms12600 Text en Copyright © 2016, The Author(s) http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in the credit line; if the material is not included under the Creative Commons license, users will need to obtain permission from the license holder to reproduce the material. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
spellingShingle | Article Gallotti, Riccardo Bazzani, Armando Rambaldi, Sandro Barthelemy, Marc A stochastic model of randomly accelerated walkers for human mobility |
title | A stochastic model of randomly accelerated walkers for human mobility |
title_full | A stochastic model of randomly accelerated walkers for human mobility |
title_fullStr | A stochastic model of randomly accelerated walkers for human mobility |
title_full_unstemmed | A stochastic model of randomly accelerated walkers for human mobility |
title_short | A stochastic model of randomly accelerated walkers for human mobility |
title_sort | stochastic model of randomly accelerated walkers for human mobility |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5013551/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27573984 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ncomms12600 |
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