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A stochastic model of randomly accelerated walkers for human mobility

Recent studies of human mobility largely focus on displacements patterns and power law fits of empirical long-tailed distributions of distances are usually associated to scale-free superdiffusive random walks called Lévy flights. However, drawing conclusions about a complex system from a fit, withou...

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Autores principales: Gallotti, Riccardo, Bazzani, Armando, Rambaldi, Sandro, Barthelemy, Marc
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group 2016
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5013551/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27573984
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ncomms12600
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author Gallotti, Riccardo
Bazzani, Armando
Rambaldi, Sandro
Barthelemy, Marc
author_facet Gallotti, Riccardo
Bazzani, Armando
Rambaldi, Sandro
Barthelemy, Marc
author_sort Gallotti, Riccardo
collection PubMed
description Recent studies of human mobility largely focus on displacements patterns and power law fits of empirical long-tailed distributions of distances are usually associated to scale-free superdiffusive random walks called Lévy flights. However, drawing conclusions about a complex system from a fit, without any further knowledge of the underlying dynamics, might lead to erroneous interpretations. Here we show, on the basis of a data set describing the trajectories of 780,000 private vehicles in Italy, that the Lévy flight model cannot explain the behaviour of travel times and speeds. We therefore introduce a class of accelerated random walks, validated by empirical observations, where the velocity changes due to acceleration kicks at random times. Combining this mechanism with an exponentially decaying distribution of travel times leads to a short-tailed distribution of distances which could indeed be mistaken with a truncated power law. These results illustrate the limits of purely descriptive models and provide a mechanistic view of mobility.
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spelling pubmed-50135512016-09-20 A stochastic model of randomly accelerated walkers for human mobility Gallotti, Riccardo Bazzani, Armando Rambaldi, Sandro Barthelemy, Marc Nat Commun Article Recent studies of human mobility largely focus on displacements patterns and power law fits of empirical long-tailed distributions of distances are usually associated to scale-free superdiffusive random walks called Lévy flights. However, drawing conclusions about a complex system from a fit, without any further knowledge of the underlying dynamics, might lead to erroneous interpretations. Here we show, on the basis of a data set describing the trajectories of 780,000 private vehicles in Italy, that the Lévy flight model cannot explain the behaviour of travel times and speeds. We therefore introduce a class of accelerated random walks, validated by empirical observations, where the velocity changes due to acceleration kicks at random times. Combining this mechanism with an exponentially decaying distribution of travel times leads to a short-tailed distribution of distances which could indeed be mistaken with a truncated power law. These results illustrate the limits of purely descriptive models and provide a mechanistic view of mobility. Nature Publishing Group 2016-08-30 /pmc/articles/PMC5013551/ /pubmed/27573984 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ncomms12600 Text en Copyright © 2016, The Author(s) http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in the credit line; if the material is not included under the Creative Commons license, users will need to obtain permission from the license holder to reproduce the material. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
spellingShingle Article
Gallotti, Riccardo
Bazzani, Armando
Rambaldi, Sandro
Barthelemy, Marc
A stochastic model of randomly accelerated walkers for human mobility
title A stochastic model of randomly accelerated walkers for human mobility
title_full A stochastic model of randomly accelerated walkers for human mobility
title_fullStr A stochastic model of randomly accelerated walkers for human mobility
title_full_unstemmed A stochastic model of randomly accelerated walkers for human mobility
title_short A stochastic model of randomly accelerated walkers for human mobility
title_sort stochastic model of randomly accelerated walkers for human mobility
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5013551/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27573984
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ncomms12600
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