Systematic genotyping of groups of cows to improve genomic estimated breeding values of selection candidates

BACKGROUND: Extending the reference set for genomic predictions in dairy cattle by adding large numbers of cows with genotypes and phenotypes has been proposed as a means to increase reliability of selection decisions for candidates. METHODS: In this study, we explored the potential of increasing the reliability of breeding values of young selection candidates by genotyping a fixed number of first-crop daughters of each sire from one or two generations in a balanced and regular system of genotyping. Using stochastic simulation, we developed a basic population scenario that mimics the situation in dual-purpose Fleckvieh cattle with respect to important key parameters. Starting with a reference set consisting of only genotyped bulls, we extended this reference set by including increasing numbers of daughter genotypes and phenotypes. We studied the effects on model-derived reliabilities, validation reliabilities and unbiasedness of predicted values for selection candidates. We also illustrate and discuss the effects of a selected sample and an unbalanced sampling of daughters. Furthermore, we quantified the role of selection with respect to the influence on validation reliabilities and contrasted these to model-derived reliabilities. RESULTS: In the most extended design, with 200 daughters per sire genotyped from two generations, single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) effects were estimated from a reference set of 420,000 cows and 4200 bulls. For this design, the validation reliabilities for candidates reached 80 % or more, thereby exceeding the reliabilities that were achieved in traditional progeny-testing designs for a trait with moderate to high heritability. We demonstrate that even a moderate number of 25 genotyped daughters per sire will lead to considerable improvement in the reliability of predicted breeding values for selection candidates. Our results illustrate that the strategy applied to sample females for genotyping has a large impact on the benefits that can be achieved. ELECTRONIC SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL: The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12711-016-0250-9) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.