Rainfed winter wheat cultivation in the North German Plain will be water limited under climate change until 2070

BACKGROUND: We analysed regionalised ECHAM6 climate data for the North German Plains (NGP) in two time slots from 1981 to 2010 and 2041 to 2070. RESULTS: The annual mean temperature will increase significantly (by about 2 °C) that will result in shorter growing periods since the sum of degree days u...

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Autores principales: Svoboda, Nikolai, Strer, Maximilian, Hufnagel, Johannes
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2015
Materias:
Research
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5044943/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27752430
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12302-015-0061-6
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author Svoboda, Nikolai
Strer, Maximilian
Hufnagel, Johannes
author_facet Svoboda, Nikolai
Strer, Maximilian
Hufnagel, Johannes
author_sort Svoboda, Nikolai
collection PubMed
description BACKGROUND: We analysed regionalised ECHAM6 climate data for the North German Plains (NGP) in two time slots from 1981 to 2010 and 2041 to 2070. RESULTS: The annual mean temperature will increase significantly (by about 2 °C) that will result in shorter growing periods since the sum of degree days until harvest will be reached earlier. Even if the amount of total precipitation does not change there appears to be a shift towards increased winter precipitation and thus noticeable reduced summer precipitation. CONCLUSIONS: Through the example of winter wheat we show a future limitation of water availability if yields are to be maintained or even increase.
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spelling pubmed-50449432016-10-15 Rainfed winter wheat cultivation in the North German Plain will be water limited under climate change until 2070 Svoboda, Nikolai Strer, Maximilian Hufnagel, Johannes Environ Sci Eur Research BACKGROUND: We analysed regionalised ECHAM6 climate data for the North German Plains (NGP) in two time slots from 1981 to 2010 and 2041 to 2070. RESULTS: The annual mean temperature will increase significantly (by about 2 °C) that will result in shorter growing periods since the sum of degree days until harvest will be reached earlier. Even if the amount of total precipitation does not change there appears to be a shift towards increased winter precipitation and thus noticeable reduced summer precipitation. CONCLUSIONS: Through the example of winter wheat we show a future limitation of water availability if yields are to be maintained or even increase. Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2015-11-10 2015 /pmc/articles/PMC5044943/ /pubmed/27752430 http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12302-015-0061-6 Text en © Svoboda et al. 2015 Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.
spellingShingle Research
Svoboda, Nikolai
Strer, Maximilian
Hufnagel, Johannes
Rainfed winter wheat cultivation in the North German Plain will be water limited under climate change until 2070
title Rainfed winter wheat cultivation in the North German Plain will be water limited under climate change until 2070
title_full Rainfed winter wheat cultivation in the North German Plain will be water limited under climate change until 2070
title_fullStr Rainfed winter wheat cultivation in the North German Plain will be water limited under climate change until 2070
title_full_unstemmed Rainfed winter wheat cultivation in the North German Plain will be water limited under climate change until 2070
title_short Rainfed winter wheat cultivation in the North German Plain will be water limited under climate change until 2070
title_sort rainfed winter wheat cultivation in the north german plain will be water limited under climate change until 2070
topic Research
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5044943/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27752430
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12302-015-0061-6
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