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Fallback tests for co‐primary endpoints

When efficacy of a treatment is measured by co‐primary endpoints, efficacy is claimed only if for each endpoint an individual statistical test is significant at level α. While such a strategy controls the family‐wise type I error rate (FWER), it is often strictly conservative and allows for no infer...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Ristl, Robin, Frommlet, Florian, Koch, Armin, Posch, Martin
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2016
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5069608/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26919166
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/sim.6911
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author Ristl, Robin
Frommlet, Florian
Koch, Armin
Posch, Martin
author_facet Ristl, Robin
Frommlet, Florian
Koch, Armin
Posch, Martin
author_sort Ristl, Robin
collection PubMed
description When efficacy of a treatment is measured by co‐primary endpoints, efficacy is claimed only if for each endpoint an individual statistical test is significant at level α. While such a strategy controls the family‐wise type I error rate (FWER), it is often strictly conservative and allows for no inference if not all null hypotheses can be rejected. In this paper, we investigate fallback tests, which are defined as uniform improvements of the classical test for co‐primary endpoints. They reject whenever the classical test rejects but allow for inference also in settings where only a subset of endpoints show a significant effect. Similarly to the fallback tests for hierarchical testing procedures, these fallback tests for co‐primary endpoints allow one to continue testing even if the primary objective of the trial was not met. We propose examples of fallback tests for two and three co‐primary endpoints that control the FWER in the strong sense under the assumption of multivariate normal test statistics with arbitrary correlation matrix and investigate their power in a simulation study. The fallback procedures for co‐primary endpoints are illustrated with a clinical trial in a rare disease and a diagnostic trial. © 2016 The Authors. Statistics in Medicine published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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spelling pubmed-50696082016-11-01 Fallback tests for co‐primary endpoints Ristl, Robin Frommlet, Florian Koch, Armin Posch, Martin Stat Med Research Articles When efficacy of a treatment is measured by co‐primary endpoints, efficacy is claimed only if for each endpoint an individual statistical test is significant at level α. While such a strategy controls the family‐wise type I error rate (FWER), it is often strictly conservative and allows for no inference if not all null hypotheses can be rejected. In this paper, we investigate fallback tests, which are defined as uniform improvements of the classical test for co‐primary endpoints. They reject whenever the classical test rejects but allow for inference also in settings where only a subset of endpoints show a significant effect. Similarly to the fallback tests for hierarchical testing procedures, these fallback tests for co‐primary endpoints allow one to continue testing even if the primary objective of the trial was not met. We propose examples of fallback tests for two and three co‐primary endpoints that control the FWER in the strong sense under the assumption of multivariate normal test statistics with arbitrary correlation matrix and investigate their power in a simulation study. The fallback procedures for co‐primary endpoints are illustrated with a clinical trial in a rare disease and a diagnostic trial. © 2016 The Authors. Statistics in Medicine published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2016-02-25 2016-07-20 /pmc/articles/PMC5069608/ /pubmed/26919166 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/sim.6911 Text en © 2016 The Authors. Statistics in Medicine published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution‐NonCommercial (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/) License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited and is not used for commercial purposes.
spellingShingle Research Articles
Ristl, Robin
Frommlet, Florian
Koch, Armin
Posch, Martin
Fallback tests for co‐primary endpoints
title Fallback tests for co‐primary endpoints
title_full Fallback tests for co‐primary endpoints
title_fullStr Fallback tests for co‐primary endpoints
title_full_unstemmed Fallback tests for co‐primary endpoints
title_short Fallback tests for co‐primary endpoints
title_sort fallback tests for co‐primary endpoints
topic Research Articles
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5069608/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26919166
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/sim.6911
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