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Lung Cancer Mortality Trends in China from 1988 to 2013: New Challenges and Opportunities for the Government

Background: As lung cancer has shown a continuously increasing trend in many countries, it is essential to stay abreast of lung cancer mortality information and take informed actions with a theoretical basis derived from appropriate and practical statistical methods. Methods: Age-specific rates were...

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Autores principales: Wang, Lijun, Yu, Chuanhua, Liu, Yu, Wang, Jun, Li, Chunhui, Wang, Quan, Wang, Peigang, Wu, Shaotang, Zhang, Zhi-Jiang
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: MDPI 2016
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5129262/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27801859
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph13111052
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author Wang, Lijun
Yu, Chuanhua
Liu, Yu
Wang, Jun
Li, Chunhui
Wang, Quan
Wang, Peigang
Wu, Shaotang
Zhang, Zhi-Jiang
author_facet Wang, Lijun
Yu, Chuanhua
Liu, Yu
Wang, Jun
Li, Chunhui
Wang, Quan
Wang, Peigang
Wu, Shaotang
Zhang, Zhi-Jiang
author_sort Wang, Lijun
collection PubMed
description Background: As lung cancer has shown a continuously increasing trend in many countries, it is essential to stay abreast of lung cancer mortality information and take informed actions with a theoretical basis derived from appropriate and practical statistical methods. Methods: Age-specific rates were collected by gender and region (urban/rural) and analysed with descriptive methods and age-period-cohort models to estimate the trends in lung cancer mortality in China from 1988 to 2013. Results: Descriptive analysis revealed that the age-specific mortality rates of lung cancer in rural residents increased markedly over the last three decades, and there was no obvious increase in urban residents. APC analysis showed that the lung cancer mortality rates significantly increased with age (20–84), rose slightly with the time period, and decreased with the cohort, except for the rural cohorts born during the early years (1909–1928). The trends in the patterns of the period and cohort effects showed marked disparities between the urban and rural residents. Conclusions: Lung cancer mortality remains serious and is likely to continue to rise in China. Some known measures are suggested to be decisive factors in mitigating lung cancer, such as environmental conservation, medical security, and tobacco control, which should be implemented more vigorously over the long term in China, especially in rural areas.
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spelling pubmed-51292622016-12-11 Lung Cancer Mortality Trends in China from 1988 to 2013: New Challenges and Opportunities for the Government Wang, Lijun Yu, Chuanhua Liu, Yu Wang, Jun Li, Chunhui Wang, Quan Wang, Peigang Wu, Shaotang Zhang, Zhi-Jiang Int J Environ Res Public Health Article Background: As lung cancer has shown a continuously increasing trend in many countries, it is essential to stay abreast of lung cancer mortality information and take informed actions with a theoretical basis derived from appropriate and practical statistical methods. Methods: Age-specific rates were collected by gender and region (urban/rural) and analysed with descriptive methods and age-period-cohort models to estimate the trends in lung cancer mortality in China from 1988 to 2013. Results: Descriptive analysis revealed that the age-specific mortality rates of lung cancer in rural residents increased markedly over the last three decades, and there was no obvious increase in urban residents. APC analysis showed that the lung cancer mortality rates significantly increased with age (20–84), rose slightly with the time period, and decreased with the cohort, except for the rural cohorts born during the early years (1909–1928). The trends in the patterns of the period and cohort effects showed marked disparities between the urban and rural residents. Conclusions: Lung cancer mortality remains serious and is likely to continue to rise in China. Some known measures are suggested to be decisive factors in mitigating lung cancer, such as environmental conservation, medical security, and tobacco control, which should be implemented more vigorously over the long term in China, especially in rural areas. MDPI 2016-10-28 2016-11 /pmc/articles/PMC5129262/ /pubmed/27801859 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph13111052 Text en © 2016 by the authors; licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC-BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Article
Wang, Lijun
Yu, Chuanhua
Liu, Yu
Wang, Jun
Li, Chunhui
Wang, Quan
Wang, Peigang
Wu, Shaotang
Zhang, Zhi-Jiang
Lung Cancer Mortality Trends in China from 1988 to 2013: New Challenges and Opportunities for the Government
title Lung Cancer Mortality Trends in China from 1988 to 2013: New Challenges and Opportunities for the Government
title_full Lung Cancer Mortality Trends in China from 1988 to 2013: New Challenges and Opportunities for the Government
title_fullStr Lung Cancer Mortality Trends in China from 1988 to 2013: New Challenges and Opportunities for the Government
title_full_unstemmed Lung Cancer Mortality Trends in China from 1988 to 2013: New Challenges and Opportunities for the Government
title_short Lung Cancer Mortality Trends in China from 1988 to 2013: New Challenges and Opportunities for the Government
title_sort lung cancer mortality trends in china from 1988 to 2013: new challenges and opportunities for the government
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5129262/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27801859
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph13111052
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