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A decision tree algorithm for investigation of model biases related to dynamical cores and physical parameterizations

An object‐based evaluation method using a pattern recognition algorithm (i.e., classification trees) is applied to the simulated orographic precipitation for idealized experimental setups using the National Center of Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Community Atmosphere Model (CAM) with the finite volume...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Soner Yorgun, M., Rood, Richard B.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2016
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5298012/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28239437
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2016MS000657
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author Soner Yorgun, M.
Rood, Richard B.
author_facet Soner Yorgun, M.
Rood, Richard B.
author_sort Soner Yorgun, M.
collection PubMed
description An object‐based evaluation method using a pattern recognition algorithm (i.e., classification trees) is applied to the simulated orographic precipitation for idealized experimental setups using the National Center of Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Community Atmosphere Model (CAM) with the finite volume (FV) and the Eulerian spectral transform dynamical cores with varying resolutions. Daily simulations were analyzed and three different types of precipitation features were identified by the classification tree algorithm. The statistical characteristics of these features (i.e., maximum value, mean value, and variance) were calculated to quantify the difference between the dynamical cores and changing resolutions. Even with the simple and smooth topography in the idealized setups, complexity in the precipitation fields simulated by the models develops quickly. The classification tree algorithm using objective thresholding successfully detected different types of precipitation features even as the complexity of the precipitation field increased. The results show that the complexity and the bias introduced in small‐scale phenomena due to the spectral transform method of CAM Eulerian spectral dynamical core is prominent, and is an important reason for its dissimilarity from the FV dynamical core. The resolvable scales, both in horizontal and vertical dimensions, have significant effect on the simulation of precipitation. The results of this study also suggest that an efficient and informative study about the biases produced by GCMs should involve daily (or even hourly) output (rather than monthly mean) analysis over local scales.
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spelling pubmed-52980122017-02-22 A decision tree algorithm for investigation of model biases related to dynamical cores and physical parameterizations Soner Yorgun, M. Rood, Richard B. J Adv Model Earth Syst Research Articles An object‐based evaluation method using a pattern recognition algorithm (i.e., classification trees) is applied to the simulated orographic precipitation for idealized experimental setups using the National Center of Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Community Atmosphere Model (CAM) with the finite volume (FV) and the Eulerian spectral transform dynamical cores with varying resolutions. Daily simulations were analyzed and three different types of precipitation features were identified by the classification tree algorithm. The statistical characteristics of these features (i.e., maximum value, mean value, and variance) were calculated to quantify the difference between the dynamical cores and changing resolutions. Even with the simple and smooth topography in the idealized setups, complexity in the precipitation fields simulated by the models develops quickly. The classification tree algorithm using objective thresholding successfully detected different types of precipitation features even as the complexity of the precipitation field increased. The results show that the complexity and the bias introduced in small‐scale phenomena due to the spectral transform method of CAM Eulerian spectral dynamical core is prominent, and is an important reason for its dissimilarity from the FV dynamical core. The resolvable scales, both in horizontal and vertical dimensions, have significant effect on the simulation of precipitation. The results of this study also suggest that an efficient and informative study about the biases produced by GCMs should involve daily (or even hourly) output (rather than monthly mean) analysis over local scales. John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2016-11-11 2016-12 /pmc/articles/PMC5298012/ /pubmed/28239437 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2016MS000657 Text en © 2016. The Authors. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution‐NonCommercial‐NoDerivs (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) License, which permits use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non‐commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made.
spellingShingle Research Articles
Soner Yorgun, M.
Rood, Richard B.
A decision tree algorithm for investigation of model biases related to dynamical cores and physical parameterizations
title A decision tree algorithm for investigation of model biases related to dynamical cores and physical parameterizations
title_full A decision tree algorithm for investigation of model biases related to dynamical cores and physical parameterizations
title_fullStr A decision tree algorithm for investigation of model biases related to dynamical cores and physical parameterizations
title_full_unstemmed A decision tree algorithm for investigation of model biases related to dynamical cores and physical parameterizations
title_short A decision tree algorithm for investigation of model biases related to dynamical cores and physical parameterizations
title_sort decision tree algorithm for investigation of model biases related to dynamical cores and physical parameterizations
topic Research Articles
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5298012/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28239437
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2016MS000657
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