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Phase of care prevalence for prostate cancer in New South Wales, Australia: A population-based modelling study

OBJECTIVE: To develop a method for estimating the future numbers of prostate cancer survivors requiring different levels of care. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Analysis of population-based cancer registry data for prostate cancer cases (aged 18–84 years) diagnosed in 1996–2007, and a linked data...

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Autores principales: Yu, Xue Qin, Luo, Qingwei, Smith, David P., Clements, Mark S., Patel, Manish I., O’Connell, Dianne L.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2017
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5298320/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28178275
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0171013
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author Yu, Xue Qin
Luo, Qingwei
Smith, David P.
Clements, Mark S.
Patel, Manish I.
O’Connell, Dianne L.
author_facet Yu, Xue Qin
Luo, Qingwei
Smith, David P.
Clements, Mark S.
Patel, Manish I.
O’Connell, Dianne L.
author_sort Yu, Xue Qin
collection PubMed
description OBJECTIVE: To develop a method for estimating the future numbers of prostate cancer survivors requiring different levels of care. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Analysis of population-based cancer registry data for prostate cancer cases (aged 18–84 years) diagnosed in 1996–2007, and a linked dataset with hospital admission data for men with prostate cancer diagnosed during 2005–2007 in New South Wales (NSW), Australia. METHODS: Cancer registry data (1996–2007) were used to project complete prostate cancer prevalence in NSW, Australia for 2008–2017, and treatment information from hospital records (2005–2007) was used to estimate the inpatient care needs during the first year after diagnosis. The projected complete prevalence was divided into care needs-based groups. We first divided the cohort into two groups based on patient’s age (<75 and 75–84 years). The younger cohort was further divided into initial care and monitoring phases. Cause of death data were used as a proxy for patients requiring last year of life prostate cancer care. Finally, episode data were used to estimate the future number of cases with metastatic progression. RESULTS: Of the estimated total of 60,910 men with a previous diagnosis of prostate cancer in 2017, the largest groups will be older patients (52.0%) and younger men who require monitoring (42.5%). If current treatment patterns continue, in the first year post-diagnosis 41% (1380) of patients (<75 years) will have a radical prostatectomy, and 52.6% (1752) will be likely to have either active surveillance, external beam radiotherapy or androgen deprivation therapy. About 3% will require care for subsequent metastases, and 1288 men with prostate cancer are likely to die from the disease in 2017. CONCLUSIONS: This method extends the application of routinely collected population-based data, and can contribute much to the knowledge of the number of men with prostate cancer and their health care requirements. This could be of significant use in planning future cancer care services and facilities in Australia.
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spelling pubmed-52983202017-02-17 Phase of care prevalence for prostate cancer in New South Wales, Australia: A population-based modelling study Yu, Xue Qin Luo, Qingwei Smith, David P. Clements, Mark S. Patel, Manish I. O’Connell, Dianne L. PLoS One Research Article OBJECTIVE: To develop a method for estimating the future numbers of prostate cancer survivors requiring different levels of care. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Analysis of population-based cancer registry data for prostate cancer cases (aged 18–84 years) diagnosed in 1996–2007, and a linked dataset with hospital admission data for men with prostate cancer diagnosed during 2005–2007 in New South Wales (NSW), Australia. METHODS: Cancer registry data (1996–2007) were used to project complete prostate cancer prevalence in NSW, Australia for 2008–2017, and treatment information from hospital records (2005–2007) was used to estimate the inpatient care needs during the first year after diagnosis. The projected complete prevalence was divided into care needs-based groups. We first divided the cohort into two groups based on patient’s age (<75 and 75–84 years). The younger cohort was further divided into initial care and monitoring phases. Cause of death data were used as a proxy for patients requiring last year of life prostate cancer care. Finally, episode data were used to estimate the future number of cases with metastatic progression. RESULTS: Of the estimated total of 60,910 men with a previous diagnosis of prostate cancer in 2017, the largest groups will be older patients (52.0%) and younger men who require monitoring (42.5%). If current treatment patterns continue, in the first year post-diagnosis 41% (1380) of patients (<75 years) will have a radical prostatectomy, and 52.6% (1752) will be likely to have either active surveillance, external beam radiotherapy or androgen deprivation therapy. About 3% will require care for subsequent metastases, and 1288 men with prostate cancer are likely to die from the disease in 2017. CONCLUSIONS: This method extends the application of routinely collected population-based data, and can contribute much to the knowledge of the number of men with prostate cancer and their health care requirements. This could be of significant use in planning future cancer care services and facilities in Australia. Public Library of Science 2017-02-08 /pmc/articles/PMC5298320/ /pubmed/28178275 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0171013 Text en © 2017 Yu et al http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Yu, Xue Qin
Luo, Qingwei
Smith, David P.
Clements, Mark S.
Patel, Manish I.
O’Connell, Dianne L.
Phase of care prevalence for prostate cancer in New South Wales, Australia: A population-based modelling study
title Phase of care prevalence for prostate cancer in New South Wales, Australia: A population-based modelling study
title_full Phase of care prevalence for prostate cancer in New South Wales, Australia: A population-based modelling study
title_fullStr Phase of care prevalence for prostate cancer in New South Wales, Australia: A population-based modelling study
title_full_unstemmed Phase of care prevalence for prostate cancer in New South Wales, Australia: A population-based modelling study
title_short Phase of care prevalence for prostate cancer in New South Wales, Australia: A population-based modelling study
title_sort phase of care prevalence for prostate cancer in new south wales, australia: a population-based modelling study
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5298320/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28178275
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0171013
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