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Vital signs and their cross-correlation in sepsis and NEC: A study of 1065 very low birth weight infants in two NICUs

BACKGROUND: Subtle changes in vital signs and their interactions occur in preterm infants prior to overt deterioration from late-onset septicemia (LOS) or necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC). Optimizing predictive algorithms may lead to earlier treatment. METHODS: For 1065 very low birth weight (VLBW) i...

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Autores principales: Fairchild, Karen D., Lake, Douglas E., Kattwinkel, John, Moorman, J. Randall, Bateman, David A, Grieve, Philip G, Isler, Joseph R, Sahni, Rakesh
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: 2016
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5309159/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28001143
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/pr.2016.215
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author Fairchild, Karen D.
Lake, Douglas E.
Kattwinkel, John
Moorman, J. Randall
Bateman, David A
Grieve, Philip G
Isler, Joseph R
Sahni, Rakesh
author_facet Fairchild, Karen D.
Lake, Douglas E.
Kattwinkel, John
Moorman, J. Randall
Bateman, David A
Grieve, Philip G
Isler, Joseph R
Sahni, Rakesh
author_sort Fairchild, Karen D.
collection PubMed
description BACKGROUND: Subtle changes in vital signs and their interactions occur in preterm infants prior to overt deterioration from late-onset septicemia (LOS) or necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC). Optimizing predictive algorithms may lead to earlier treatment. METHODS: For 1065 very low birth weight (VLBW) infants in two NICUs, mean, SD, and cross-correlation of respiratory rate, heart rate (HR), and oxygen saturation (SpO(2)) were analyzed hourly (131 infant-years’ data). Cross-correlation (co-trending) between two vital signs was measured allowing a lag of +/− 30 seconds. Cases of LOS and NEC were identified retrospectively (n=186) and vital sign models were evaluated for ability to predict illness diagnosed in the ensuing 24h. RESULTS: The best single illness predictor within and between institutions was cross-correlation of HR-SpO(2). The best combined model (mean SpO(2), SD HR, and cross correlation of HR-SpO(2),) trained at one site with ROC area 0.695 had external ROC area of 0.754 at the other site, and provided additive value to an established HR characteristics index for illness prediction (Net Reclassification Improvement 0.25, 95% CI 0.113, 0.328). CONCLUSION: Despite minor inter-institutional differences in vital sign patterns of VLBW infants, cross-correlation of HR-SpO(2) and a 3-variable vital sign model performed well at both centers for preclinical detection of sepsis or NEC.
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spelling pubmed-53091592017-05-03 Vital signs and their cross-correlation in sepsis and NEC: A study of 1065 very low birth weight infants in two NICUs Fairchild, Karen D. Lake, Douglas E. Kattwinkel, John Moorman, J. Randall Bateman, David A Grieve, Philip G Isler, Joseph R Sahni, Rakesh Pediatr Res Article BACKGROUND: Subtle changes in vital signs and their interactions occur in preterm infants prior to overt deterioration from late-onset septicemia (LOS) or necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC). Optimizing predictive algorithms may lead to earlier treatment. METHODS: For 1065 very low birth weight (VLBW) infants in two NICUs, mean, SD, and cross-correlation of respiratory rate, heart rate (HR), and oxygen saturation (SpO(2)) were analyzed hourly (131 infant-years’ data). Cross-correlation (co-trending) between two vital signs was measured allowing a lag of +/− 30 seconds. Cases of LOS and NEC were identified retrospectively (n=186) and vital sign models were evaluated for ability to predict illness diagnosed in the ensuing 24h. RESULTS: The best single illness predictor within and between institutions was cross-correlation of HR-SpO(2). The best combined model (mean SpO(2), SD HR, and cross correlation of HR-SpO(2),) trained at one site with ROC area 0.695 had external ROC area of 0.754 at the other site, and provided additive value to an established HR characteristics index for illness prediction (Net Reclassification Improvement 0.25, 95% CI 0.113, 0.328). CONCLUSION: Despite minor inter-institutional differences in vital sign patterns of VLBW infants, cross-correlation of HR-SpO(2) and a 3-variable vital sign model performed well at both centers for preclinical detection of sepsis or NEC. 2016-11-03 2017-02 /pmc/articles/PMC5309159/ /pubmed/28001143 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/pr.2016.215 Text en http://www.nature.com/authors/editorial_policies/license.html#terms Users may view, print, copy, and download text and data-mine the content in such documents, for the purposes of academic research, subject always to the full Conditions of use:http://www.nature.com/authors/editorial_policies/license.html#terms
spellingShingle Article
Fairchild, Karen D.
Lake, Douglas E.
Kattwinkel, John
Moorman, J. Randall
Bateman, David A
Grieve, Philip G
Isler, Joseph R
Sahni, Rakesh
Vital signs and their cross-correlation in sepsis and NEC: A study of 1065 very low birth weight infants in two NICUs
title Vital signs and their cross-correlation in sepsis and NEC: A study of 1065 very low birth weight infants in two NICUs
title_full Vital signs and their cross-correlation in sepsis and NEC: A study of 1065 very low birth weight infants in two NICUs
title_fullStr Vital signs and their cross-correlation in sepsis and NEC: A study of 1065 very low birth weight infants in two NICUs
title_full_unstemmed Vital signs and their cross-correlation in sepsis and NEC: A study of 1065 very low birth weight infants in two NICUs
title_short Vital signs and their cross-correlation in sepsis and NEC: A study of 1065 very low birth weight infants in two NICUs
title_sort vital signs and their cross-correlation in sepsis and nec: a study of 1065 very low birth weight infants in two nicus
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5309159/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28001143
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/pr.2016.215
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